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Potential new football header

Scottish Premiership

Aberdeen logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 27
Feb 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
Pittodrie Stadium
Livingston logo

Aberdeen
1 - 0
Livingston

Miovski (44')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Aberdeen and Livingston, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aberdeen

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Celtic 4-0 Aberdeen
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Livingston

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Livingston 0-3 Rangers
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 56.05%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Livingston had a probability of 20.98%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Livingston win it was 0-1 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Aberdeen in this match.

Result
AberdeenDrawLivingston
56.05% (-0.053999999999995 -0.05)22.97% (0.016999999999999 0.02)20.98% (0.035 0.04)
Both teams to score 53.31% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.65% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)46.34% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.37% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)68.63% (0.027999999999992 0.03)
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.65% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)16.35% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.04% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)45.96% (0.052 0.05)
Livingston Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.73% (0.014999999999993 0.01)36.26% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.95% (0.015999999999998 0.02)73.05% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Aberdeen 56.05%
    Livingston 20.98%
    Draw 22.97%
AberdeenDrawLivingston
1-0 @ 10.73%
2-1 @ 9.86% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 9.72% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.95% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.87% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.02% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-1 @ 2.7% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.66% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.37% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 0.98% (-0.003 -0)
5-0 @ 0.96% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 56.05%
1-1 @ 10.89% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.93% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-2 @ 5% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.97%
0-1 @ 6.01% (0.011 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.52% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.05% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.69% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.03% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 20.98%

How you voted: Aberdeen vs Livingston

Aberdeen
47.6%
Draw
9.5%
Livingston
42.9%
21
Head to Head
Nov 8, 2022 7.45pm
Livingston
2-1
Aberdeen
Fitzwater (6'), Kelly (17' pen.)
Lopes (58' pen.)
McCrorie (11')
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Aberdeen
5-0
Livingston
Miovski (41' pen., 63'), McCrorie (58'), Besuijen (62' pen.), Duncan (87')

Holt (37'), Cancar (61'), Montano (65'), Brandon (88')
Fitzwater (40')
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Aberdeen
1-2
Livingston
Ferguson (90' pen.)
Hayes (28'), Ojo (35'), Besuijen (39'), McCrorie (52')
McCrorie (78')
Devlin (41'), Holt (70' pen.)
Stryjek (39'), Obileye (89')
Feb 5, 2022 3pm
Livingston
2-1
Aberdeen
Obileye (8'), Forrest (49')
Montano (23'), Fitzwater (38'), Omeonga (41'), Lewis (45+1'), Forrest (68'), Pittman (71'), Stryjek (73'), Holt (90')
Montano (82')
Ramirez (66')
Hayes (71'), Besuijen (82'), Ojo (87'), MacKenzie (90+1')
Dec 1, 2021 7.45pm
Aberdeen
2-0
Livingston
Hedges (23'), Bates (75')

Longridge (47')
Longridge (61')