Scottish Premiership Gameweek 30
Kilmarnock
Apr 1, 2023 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT
Hearts
  • Danny Armstrong 22' goal
  • Christian Doidge 45' goal
  • goal Lawrence Shankland 7'

Kilmarnock vs Hearts - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Kilmarnock

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Mar 18, 2023 3.00pm
Kilmarnock 1 - 1 St Johnstone
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Danny Armstrong

Hearts

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Mar 18, 2023 3.00pm
Aberdeen 3 - 0 Hearts
Goals scored
63
Top scorer
Lawrence Shankland

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 42.49%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 32.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Hearts win was 0-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.

Result

Kilmarnock 42.49% ▼ (-0.01)
Draw 25.47%
Hearts 32.04% ▲ (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.07%

Goals

Over 2.5 51.32% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 48.68% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 29.21% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 70.79% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 4.5 14.13%
Under 4.5 85.87%

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5 77.19% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 22.8% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 43.49% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 56.51% ▲ (+0.01)

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5 71.34% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 28.66% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 35.53% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 64.47% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

Kilmarnock 42.49%
Draw 25.47%
Hearts 32.04%
Kilmarnock
1-0 @ 9.66% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.92% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.14% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.4% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.52% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.75%
4-1 @ 1.63%
4-0 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 42.49%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.07%
0-0 @ 6.54%
2-2 @ 5.58%
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.47%
Hearts
0-1 @ 8.17% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 7.55% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.1% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.14% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.32%
0-3 @ 2.13%
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 32.04%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership Gameweek 17
Hearts
Dec 17, 2022 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT
Kilmarnock
  • Josh Ginnelly 19' goal
  • Lawrence Shankland 29' goal
  • Lawrence Shankland 89' goal
  • goal Ash Taylor 73'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 10
Kilmarnock
Oct 9, 2022 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Hearts
  • Chris Stokes 47' goal
  • Kyle Lafferty 59' goal
  • goal Stephen Humphrys 62'
  • goal Nathaniel Atkinson 90'+4'
Scottish League Cup
Hearts
Aug 31, 2022 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Tynecastle Park
Kilmarnock
  • goal Innes Cameron 21'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 25
Hearts
Feb 5, 2020 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 0 2
FT Tynecastle Park
Kilmarnock
  • Sean Clare 35' yellowcard
  • John Souttar 48' yellowcard
  • Steven Naismith 65' yellowcard
  • Sean Clare 79' goal
  • Andrew Irving 86' yellowcard
  • Craig Halkett 89' goal
  • goal Stuart Findlay 24'
  • goal Chris Burke 38'
  • goal Eamonn Brophy 50'
  • yellowcard Alan Power 52'
  • yellowcard Laurentiu Branescu 78'
  • redcard Laurentiu Branescu 80'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 14
Kilmarnock
Nov 23, 2019 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT Rugby Park (Kilmarnock)
Hearts
  • Chris Burke 9' goal
  • Eamonn Brophy 14' goal
  • Chris Burke 16' goal
  • Mohamed El Makrini 62' yellowcard
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 8
Hearts
Oct 5, 2019 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Tynecastle Park (Edinburgh)
Kilmarnock
  • goal Chris Burke 42'
  • yellowcard Mohamed El Makrini 68'
  • yellowcard Laurentiu Branescu 91'

Form Data

Kilmarnock 1 - 1 St Johnstone
Inverness 2 - 1 Kilmarnock
Rangers 3 - 1 Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock 1 - 1 Motherwell
Hibernian 2 - 0 Kilmarnock
Dundee Utd 0 - 1 Kilmarnock
Aberdeen 3 - 0 Hearts
Hearts 0 - 3 Celtic
Celtic 3 - 1 Hearts
Hearts 3 - 0 St Johnstone
Motherwell 2 - 0 Hearts
Hamilton 0 - 2 Hearts