Scottish Cup
Hearts
Mar 11, 2023 12.15pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Tynecastle Park
Celtic
  • goal Aaron Mooy 2'
  • goal Kyogo Furuhashi 45'
  • goal Cameron Carter-Vickers 80'

Hearts vs Celtic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Hearts

All competitions

Celtic

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 69.21%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Hearts had a probability of 13.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.53%) and 0-3 (7.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.78%), while for a Hearts win it was 2-1 (3.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.

Result

Hearts 13.56%
Draw 17.23% ▲ (+0.01)
Celtic 69.21% ▼ (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.71% ▼ (-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 66.95% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 33.05% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 45.22% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 54.78% ▲ (+0.02)

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5 63.17% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 36.83% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 26.38% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 73.62% ▲ (+0.02)

Celtic Goals

Over 0.5 91.37% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 8.63% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 70.22% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 29.78% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Hearts 13.56%
Draw 17.23%
Celtic 69.21%
Hearts
2-1 @ 3.89% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 3.18% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 1.59%
3-2 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 1.29%
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 13.56%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.78% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.76% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 3.18% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 17.23%
Celtic
0-2 @ 9.54% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 9.53% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 7.79% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 7.79% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 7.78% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 4.77%
1-4 @ 4.76% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.89% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 2.38% ▼ (-0.01)
0-5 @ 2.34%
1-5 @ 2.33% ▼ (-0.01)
2-5 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 5.15%
Total : 69.21%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership Gameweek 27
Celtic
Mar 8, 2023 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Hearts
  • Daizen Maeda 25' goal
  • Kyogo Furuhashi 60' goal
  • Sead Haksabanovic 84' goal
  • goal Josh Ginnelly 6'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 12
Hearts
Oct 22, 2022 12.30pm
3
4
HT : 1 1
FT
Celtic
  • Lawrence Shankland 47' goal
  • Lawrence Shankland 45'+3' goal
  • Lawrence Shankland 65' goal
  • goal James Forrest 14'
  • goal Giorgos Giakoumakis 55'
  • goal Daizen Maeda 59'
  • goal Greg Taylor 76'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 4
Celtic
Aug 21, 2022 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Hearts
  • Kyogo Furuhashi 13' goal
  • Giorgos Giakoumakis 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Liam Boyce 25'
  • yellowcard Gary Mackay-Steven 43'
  • yellowcard Toby Sibbick 55'
  • yellowcard Alex Cochrane 62'
  • yellowcard Lawrence Shankland 83'
  • redcard Alex Cochrane 89'
  • redcard Toby Sibbick 90'+1'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 3
Celtic
May 7, 2022 12.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 1
FT Celtic Park
Hearts
  • Daizen Maeda 30' goal
  • Kyogo Furuhashi 37' goal
  • Matt O'Riley 69' goal
  • Giorgos Giakoumakis 90' goal
  • goal Ellis Simms 3'
  • yellowcard Toby Sibbick 31'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 23
Hearts
Jan 26, 2022 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT
Celtic
  • Cameron Devlin 45' yellowcard
  • Craig Halkett 61' yellowcard
  • Liam Boyce 62' goal
  • Liam Boyce 67' yellowcard
  • goal Reo Hatate 27'
  • goal Giorgos Giakoumakis 35'
  • yellowcard Greg Taylor 45'
  • yellowcard Jota 45'
  • yellowcard Nir Bitton 53'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 16
Celtic
Dec 2, 2021 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Hearts
  • Kyogo Furuhashi 33' goal
  • Adam Montgomery 84' yellowcard

Form Data

Celtic 3 - 1 Hearts
Hearts 3 - 0 St Johnstone
Motherwell 2 - 0 Hearts
Hamilton 0 - 2 Hearts
Hearts 3 - 1 Dundee Utd
Hearts 0 - 3 Rangers
Celtic 3 - 1 Hearts
St Mirren 1 - 5 Celtic
Rangers 1 - 2 Celtic
Celtic 4 - 0 Aberdeen
Celtic 5 - 1 St Mirren
St Johnstone 1 - 4 Celtic