Hearts logo
Scottish Cup | Quarter-Finals
Mar 11, 2023 at 12.15pm UK
Tynecastle Park
Celtic logo

Hearts
0 - 3
Celtic

FT(HT: 0-2)
Mooy (2'), Furuhashi (45'), Carter-Vickers (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Cup clash between Hearts and Celtic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hearts

All competitions
Scottish Cup
Last Game: Celtic 3-1 Hearts
Wednesday, March 8 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

Celtic

All competitions
Scottish Cup
Last Game: Celtic 3-1 Hearts
Wednesday, March 8 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 69.21%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Hearts had a probability of 13.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.53%) and 0-3 (7.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.78%), while for a Hearts win it was 2-1 (3.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.

Result
HeartsDrawCeltic
13.56%17.23% (0.0040000000000013 0)69.21% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 57.71% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.95% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)33.05% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.22% (-0.017999999999994 -0.02)54.78% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.17% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)36.83% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.38% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)73.62% (0.012 0.01)
Celtic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.37% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)8.63% (0.0039999999999996 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.22% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)29.78% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Hearts 13.56%
    Celtic 69.21%
    Draw 17.23%
HeartsDrawCeltic
2-1 @ 3.89% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-0 @ 3.18% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 1.59%
3-2 @ 1.58% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 1.29%
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 13.56%
1-1 @ 7.78% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 4.76% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 3.18% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.29% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 17.23%
0-2 @ 9.54% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-2 @ 9.53% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-3 @ 7.79% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 7.79% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 7.78% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-4 @ 4.77%
1-4 @ 4.76% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 3.89% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-4 @ 2.38% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-5 @ 2.34%
1-5 @ 2.33% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-5 @ 1.17% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-6 @ 0.95%
1-6 @ 0.95% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 69.21%

How you voted: Hearts vs Celtic

Hearts
10.8%
Celtic
89.2%
37
Head to Head
Mar 8, 2023 7.45pm
Celtic
3-1
Hearts
Maeda (25'), Furuhashi (60'), Haksabanovic (84')
Ginnelly (6')
Devlin (54'), Kiomourtzoglou (77')
Oct 22, 2022 12.30pm
Hearts
3-4
Celtic
Shankland (45+3' pen., 47', 65' pen.)
Forrest (14'), Giakoumakis (55'), Maeda (59'), Taylor (76')
Jenz (41')
Aug 21, 2022 3pm
Celtic
2-0
Hearts
Furuhashi (13'), Giakoumakis (90+4')

Boyce (25'), Mackay-Steven (43'), Sibbick (55'), Cochrane (62'), Shankland (83')
Cochrane (89'), Sibbick (90+1')
May 7, 2022 12pm
Celtic
4-1
Hearts
Maeda (30'), Furuhashi (37'), O'Riley (69'), Giakoumakis (90')
Simms (3')
Sibbick (31')
Jan 26, 2022 7.45pm
Hearts
1-2
Celtic
Boyce (62')
Devlin (45'), Halkett (61'), Boyce (67')
Hatate (27'), Giakoumakis (35')
Taylor (45'), Jota (45'), Bitton (53')