Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 75.61%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for St Mirren had a probability of 8.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.82%) and 0-3 (10.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.58%), while for a St Mirren win it was 1-0 (3.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
Result | ||
St Mirren | Draw | Celtic |
8.39% ( -0.3) | 16% ( -0.18) | 75.61% ( 0.48) |
Both teams to score 42.8% ( -0.72) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.41% ( -0.2) | 42.59% ( 0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35% ( -0.2) | 64.99% ( 0.2) |
St Mirren Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
47.33% ( -0.83) | 52.67% ( 0.83) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
13.56% ( -0.54) | 86.44% ( 0.54) |
Celtic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.43% ( 0.07) | 9.57% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.98% ( 0.16) | 32.02% ( -0.16) |
Score Analysis |
St Mirren | Draw | Celtic |
1-0 @ 3.23% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 2.43% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.69% Total : 8.39% | 1-1 @ 7.58% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 5.04% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 2.85% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.53% Total : 16% | 0-2 @ 13.87% ( 0.2) 0-1 @ 11.82% ( 0.14) 0-3 @ 10.85% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 8.9% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 6.96% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 6.37% ( 0.13) 1-4 @ 4.08% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 2.99% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.07) 1-5 @ 1.92% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.04) 0-6 @ 1.17% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.13% Total : 75.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 15 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 44 | 4 | 40 | 43 |
2 | Aberdeen | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 34 |
3 | RangersRangers | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 9 | 18 | 32 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 24 |
5 | Motherwell | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 22 |
6 | Dundee | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 19 |
7 | St Mirren | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 18 |
8 | Ross County | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 30 | -18 | 15 |
9 | St Johnstone | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 14 |
10 | Kilmarnock | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 34 | -17 | 14 |
11 | Hearts | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
12 | Hibernian | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 12 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |