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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 28
Mar 5, 2023 at 12pm UK
St Mirren Park
Celtic logo

St Mirren
1 - 5
Celtic

O'Hara (6' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-0)
Jota (56'), Johnston (61'), Abada (70'), O'Riley (72'), Oh (81' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Scottish Premiership clash between St Mirren and Celtic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rangers 1-2 Celtic
Sunday, February 26 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 75.61%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for St Mirren had a probability of 8.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.82%) and 0-3 (10.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.58%), while for a St Mirren win it was 1-0 (3.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.

Result
St MirrenDrawCeltic
8.39% (-0.3019 -0.3)16% (-0.18 -0.18)75.61% (0.48399999999999 0.48)
Both teams to score 42.8% (-0.716 -0.72)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.41% (-0.198 -0.2)42.59% (0.2 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35% (-0.197 -0.2)64.99% (0.199 0.2)
St Mirren Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.33% (-0.83 -0.83)52.67% (0.833 0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.56% (-0.539 -0.54)86.44% (0.54199999999999 0.54)
Celtic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.43% (0.070000000000007 0.07)9.57% (-0.068099999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.98% (0.16 0.16)32.02% (-0.158 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    St Mirren 8.39%
    Celtic 75.6%
    Draw 16%
St MirrenDrawCeltic
1-0 @ 3.23% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-1 @ 2.43% (-0.092 -0.09)
2-0 @ 1.04% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 8.39%
1-1 @ 7.58% (-0.096 -0.1)
0-0 @ 5.04% (0.045 0.04)
2-2 @ 2.85% (-0.099 -0.1)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 16%
0-2 @ 13.87% (0.2 0.2)
0-1 @ 11.82% (0.14 0.14)
0-3 @ 10.85% (0.19 0.19)
1-2 @ 8.9% (-0.086 -0.09)
1-3 @ 6.96% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-4 @ 6.37% (0.132 0.13)
1-4 @ 4.08% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-5 @ 2.99% (0.07 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.23% (-0.071 -0.07)
1-5 @ 1.92% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.31% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-6 @ 1.17% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 75.6%

How you voted: St Mirren vs Celtic

St Mirren
14.9%
Draw
4.3%
Celtic
80.9%
47
Head to Head
Feb 11, 2023 5.30pm
Fifth Round
Celtic
5-1
St Mirren
Maeda (16'), Hatate (76' pen., 90+5'), Oh (80'), O'Riley (90')
O'Hara (87' pen.)
Baccus (67')
Taylor (75')
Jan 18, 2023 7.45pm
Sep 18, 2022 12pm
Mar 2, 2022 7.45pm
Celtic
2-0
St Mirren
Carter-Vickers (55'), McGregor (81')
McGregor (49'), Dembele (86')

Dunne (45+1'), Tanser (55')
Dec 22, 2021 7.45pm
St Mirren
0-0
Celtic

Tanser (18'), Offord (39')

Welsh (33'), Rogic (64')