Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 29

Mar 18, 2023 at 3pm UK

Pittodrie Stadium

Aberdeen
3 - 0
Hearts

Lopes (5', 21'), Pollock (28')

FT(HT: 3-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Aberdeen and Hearts, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aberdeen

All competitions

Last Game: Dundee Utd 1-3 Aberdeen
Saturday, March 4 at 6pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Hearts

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Hearts 0-3 Celtic
Saturday, March 11 at 12.15pm in Scottish Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 44.82%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 31.14% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Hearts win was 1-2 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.

Result
Aberdeen	Draw	Hearts
44.82% ( -0.16)	24.03% ( 0.08)	31.14% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 59.62% (

-0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.44% (

-0.32)

42.56% (

0.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.03% (

-0.32)

64.96% (

0.32)

Aberdeen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.8% (

-0.19)

19.2% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.12% (

-0.32)

50.88% (

0.32)

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.78% (

-0.1)

26.21% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.68% (

-0.14)

61.31% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

Aberdeen 44.82%

Hearts 31.14%

Draw 24.02%

Aberdeen	Draw	Hearts
2-1 @ 9.18% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.31% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 6.85% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.05% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.77% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.38% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.08% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.25% Total : 44.82%	1-1 @ 11.11% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.14% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.02%	1-2 @ 7.44% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.74% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.32% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.35% Total : 31.14%