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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 29
Mar 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Rugby Park
St Johnstone logo

Kilmarnock
1 - 1
St Johnstone

Wright (38')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Wright (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Kilmarnock and St Johnstone, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hearts 3-0 St Johnstone
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 53.26%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for St Johnstone had a probability of 22.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for a St Johnstone win it was 0-1 (7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
KilmarnockDrawSt Johnstone
53.26% (0.492 0.49)24.42% (-0.169 -0.17)22.32% (-0.319 -0.32)
Both teams to score 50.64% (0.112 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.19% (0.348 0.35)50.81% (-0.345 -0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.3% (0.306 0.31)72.7% (-0.301 -0.3)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.98% (0.32799999999999 0.33)19.02% (-0.324 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.41% (0.538 0.54)50.59% (-0.535 -0.54)
St Johnstone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.54% (-0.111 -0.11)37.47% (0.116 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.75% (-0.11 -0.11)74.25% (0.114 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Kilmarnock 53.25%
    St Johnstone 22.32%
    Draw 24.42%
KilmarnockDrawSt Johnstone
1-0 @ 11.82% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-0 @ 9.81% (0.065 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.64% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
3-0 @ 5.43% (0.091 0.09)
3-1 @ 5.33% (0.073 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.62% (0.028 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.25% (0.06 0.06)
4-1 @ 2.21% (0.052 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.09% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 53.25%
1-1 @ 11.61% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 7.13% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.73% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 24.42%
0-1 @ 7% (-0.12 -0.12)
1-2 @ 5.7% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-2 @ 3.44% (-0.069 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.87% (-0.025 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.55% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.12% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 22.32%

How you voted: Kilmarnock vs St Johnstone

Kilmarnock
40.0%
Draw
20.0%
St Johnstone
40.0%
10
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Oct 5, 2022 7.45pm
Jan 30, 2021 3pm
Kilmarnock
2-3
St Johnstone
Burke (5'), Tshibola (32')
Power (76')
Melamed (53'), Davidson (69'), McCann (73')
McCart (80')
Nov 6, 2020 7.45pm
Aug 15, 2020 3pm
Kilmarnock
1-2
St Johnstone
Tshibola (61')
Power (55')
Millen (63')
Wotherspoon (85'), O'Halloran (90+4')
Rooney (33'), Craig (90+3')