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Scottish Premiership

Kilmarnock logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 27
Feb 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
Rugby Park
Motherwell logo

Kilmarnock
1 - 1
Motherwell

Robinson (17')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Slattery (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Kilmarnock and Motherwell, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kilmarnock

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hibernian 2-0 Kilmarnock
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Motherwell

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Motherwell 2-0 Hearts
Sunday, February 19 at 12pm in Scottish Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 50.02%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Motherwell had a probability of 24.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Motherwell win it was 0-1 (7.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
KilmarnockDrawMotherwell
50.02% (0.0020000000000024 0)25.02% (0.0019999999999989 0)24.96% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Both teams to score 51.73% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)50.82% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.29% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)72.71% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.67% (0.0019999999999953 0)20.33% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.28% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)52.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.93% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)35.07% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)71.82% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    Kilmarnock 50.01%
    Motherwell 24.96%
    Draw 25.02%
KilmarnockDrawMotherwell
1-0 @ 11.35%
2-1 @ 9.48%
2-0 @ 9.05% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-1 @ 5.03%
3-0 @ 4.8%
3-2 @ 2.64% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.01%
4-0 @ 1.91%
4-2 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 50.01%
1-1 @ 11.9%
0-0 @ 7.13% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 4.97%
3-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.02%
0-1 @ 7.47%
1-2 @ 6.24% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 3.91%
1-3 @ 2.18%
2-3 @ 1.74%
0-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 24.96%

Head to Head
Dec 23, 2022 7.45pm
Motherwell
2-2
Kilmarnock
Van Veen (22'), Slattery (60')
Penney (59')
McGinn (73' og.), Polworth (75')
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Kilmarnock
2-1
Motherwell
Armstrong (71'), Taylor (76')
Armstrong (83'), Power (90+4')
Van Veen (14')
O'Donnell (19')
May 1, 2021 3pm
Motherwell
2-0
Kilmarnock
Cole (47'), O'Donnell (85')
Campbell (77'), Long (78'), McGinley (79')

Broadfoot (85')
Mar 20, 2021 3pm
Kilmarnock
4-1
Motherwell
Lafferty (1'), McKenzie (55'), Burke (57'), Pinnock (83')
McGowan (45'), Lafferty (58'), Power (72')
Maguire (8')
Roberts (42')
Feb 10, 2021 6pm
Kilmarnock
0-1
Motherwell
Campbell (71')
Watt (78'), O'Donnell (81')
> Match Report