Kilmarnock's potentially season-saving home form may earn the hosts another precious point in their battle against the drop this weekend, halting Kettlewell's winning start to life in the Motherwell dugout without condemning him to a defeat on his permanent debut.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 50.02%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Motherwell had a probability of 24.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Motherwell win it was 0-1 (7.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
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