Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 43.55%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.21%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 1-2 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hearts | Draw | St Mirren |
| 43.55% ( | 23.4% ( | 33.05% ( |
| Both teams to score 62.78% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.22% ( | 38.78% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.91% ( | 61.09% ( |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.8% ( | 18.2% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.79% ( | 49.21% ( |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.74% | 23.26% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.82% | 57.18% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Hearts | Draw | St Mirren |
| 2-1 @ 8.96% 1-0 @ 7.21% ( 2-0 @ 6.14% ( 3-1 @ 5.09% ( 3-2 @ 3.71% ( 3-0 @ 3.49% ( 4-1 @ 2.17% ( 4-2 @ 1.58% ( 4-0 @ 1.49% ( Other @ 3.71% Total : 43.55% | 1-1 @ 10.51% 2-2 @ 6.54% 0-0 @ 4.23% ( 3-3 @ 1.8% ( Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.39% | 1-2 @ 7.67% ( 0-1 @ 6.17% ( 0-2 @ 4.5% ( 1-3 @ 3.73% 2-3 @ 3.18% 0-3 @ 2.19% ( 1-4 @ 1.36% 2-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.09% Total : 33.05% |