Scottish Premiership Gameweek 31
Apr 8, 2023 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Curtis Main 52'
  • goal Alex Gogic 57'

Hearts vs St Mirren - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Hearts

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Apr 1, 2023 3.00pm
Kilmarnock 2 - 1 Hearts
Goals scored
63
Top scorer
Lawrence Shankland

St Mirren

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Apr 1, 2023 3.00pm
St Mirren 3 - 0 Livingston
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Mark O'Hara

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 43.55%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.21%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 1-2 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result

Hearts 43.55% (-0.01)
Draw 23.4% (+0.01)
St Mirren 33.05% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.78% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 61.22% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 38.78% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 38.91% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 61.09% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 21.27% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 78.73% (+0.01)

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5 81.8% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 18.2% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 50.79% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 49.21% (+0.01)

St Mirren Goals

Over 0.5 76.74%
Under 0.5 23.26% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 42.82%
Under 1.5 57.18% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Hearts 43.55%
Draw 23.39%
St Mirren 33.05%
Hearts
2-1 @ 8.96%
1-0 @ 7.21% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.14% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.09% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.71% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.49% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.17% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.58% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.49% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 43.55%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.51%
2-2 @ 6.54%
0-0 @ 4.23% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.8% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.39%
St Mirren
1-2 @ 7.67% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 6.17% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.5% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.73%
2-3 @ 3.18%
0-3 @ 2.19% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.36%
2-4 @ 1.16%
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 33.05%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership Gameweek 7
Jan 13, 2023 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Barrie McKay 29' goal
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 21
Jan 7, 2023 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Ryan Strain 4' goal
  • goal Robert Snodgrass 49'
Scottish Cup
Mar 12, 2022 7.45pm
4
2
HT : 2 1
FT Tynecastle Park
  • Beni Baningime 16' goal
  • Peter Haring 29' goal
  • Beni Baningime 40' yellowcard
  • Aaron McEneff 67' goal
  • Ellis Simms 85' goal
  • goal Eamonn Brophy 36'
  • goal Connor Ronan 62'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 28
Feb 26, 2022 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Connor Ronan 22' redcard
  • Alan Power 62' yellowcard
  • Richard Tait 67' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nathaniel Atkinson 27'
  • yellowcard Cameron Devlin 62'
  • goal Ellis Simms 64'
  • goal Cameron Devlin 67'
  • yellowcard Peter Haring 86'
  • yellowcard Craig Halkett 89'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 15
Nov 27, 2021 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Gary Mackay-Steven 61' goal
  • Cameron Devlin 68' yellowcard
  • Stephen Kingsley 75' goal
  • Andy Halliday 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joe Shaughnessy 16'
  • yellowcard Ryan Flynn 62'
  • redcard Joe Shaughnessy 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Jak Alnwick 90'+6'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 2
Aug 7, 2021 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT The SMISA Stadium
  • Joe Shaughnessy 85' goal
  • Kristian Dennis 86' redcard
  • Curtis Main 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Andy Halliday 16'
  • yellowcard Peter Haring 28'
  • yellowcard Beni Baningime 36'
  • goal Liam Boyce 73'