Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 43.55%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.21%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 1-2 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.