Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 43.55%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.21%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 1-2 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Hearts | Draw | St Mirren |
43.55% ( -0.01) | 23.4% ( 0) | 33.05% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 62.78% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.22% ( -0.01) | 38.78% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.91% ( -0.01) | 61.09% ( 0.01) |
Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.8% ( -0.01) | 18.2% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.79% ( -0.01) | 49.21% ( 0.01) |
St Mirren Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.74% | 23.26% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.82% | 57.18% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Hearts | Draw | St Mirren |
2-1 @ 8.96% 1-0 @ 7.21% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.14% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.09% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.71% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.49% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.17% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.58% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.49% ( -0) Other @ 3.71% Total : 43.55% | 1-1 @ 10.51% 2-2 @ 6.54% 0-0 @ 4.23% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.8% ( -0) Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.39% | 1-2 @ 7.67% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.17% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.5% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.73% 2-3 @ 3.18% 0-3 @ 2.19% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.36% 2-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.09% Total : 33.05% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 15 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 44 | 4 | 40 | 43 |
2 | Aberdeen | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 34 |
3 | RangersRangers | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 9 | 18 | 32 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 24 |
5 | Motherwell | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 22 |
6 | Dundee | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 19 |
7 | St Mirren | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 18 |
8 | Ross County | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 30 | -18 | 15 |
9 | St Johnstone | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 14 |
10 | Kilmarnock | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 34 | -17 | 14 |
11 | Hearts | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
12 | Hibernian | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 12 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |