Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee United win with a probability of 38.35%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 35.27% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 0-1 (9.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.