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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 17
Mar 8, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Almondvale Stadium
Dundee United

Livingston
1 - 1
Dundee Utd

Bradley (13')
de Lucas (65')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Behich (59')
Freeman (5'), Harkes (23'), Anaku (44'), Ayina (64'), Niskanen (90+5'), McMann (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Scottish Premiership clash between Livingston and Dundee United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Livingston 3-1 Dundee United

On course to equal their highest-ever Scottish Premiership finish, we predict that Livingston will enter double-digit league victories for the current campaign at the expense of relegation-threatened Dundee United. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 46.26%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Dundee United had a probability of 26.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.93%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.69%), while for a Dundee United win it was 0-1 (9.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result
LivingstonDrawDundee United
46.26% (0.018999999999998 0.02) 26.98% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 26.76% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Both teams to score 47.52% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.94% (0.018000000000001 0.02)57.06% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.05% (0.013000000000002 0.01)77.95% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Livingston Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.35% (0.016000000000005 0.02)24.65% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.84% (0.024000000000001 0.02)59.16% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Dundee United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.06% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)36.94% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.27% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)73.73% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Livingston 46.26%
    Dundee United 26.76%
    Draw 26.97%
LivingstonDrawDundee United
1-0 @ 12.75%
2-0 @ 8.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 8.89% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 4.17% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 4.15% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-2 @ 2.07% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 1.46% (0.002 0)
4-1 @ 1.45% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 46.26%
1-1 @ 12.69% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.1% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.43% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 26.97%
0-1 @ 9.07% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.32% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 4.52% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.1% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.5% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.47%
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 26.76%

How you voted: Livingston vs Dundee Utd

Livingston
65.8%
Draw
18.8%
Dundee United
15.4%
117
Head to Head
Aug 31, 2022 7.45pm
Second Round
Livingston
1-2
Dundee Utd
Guthrie (78')
Obileye (59'), Montano (87')
Fletcher (15'), Harkes (34')
Levitt (32'), McGrath (82'), (89')
Aug 7, 2022 3pm
Dundee Utd
0-1
Livingston

McMann (57'), Watt (67')
Montano (49')
Devlin (47'), George (88'), Bitsindou (90+5')
Mar 2, 2022 7.45pm
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Dundee Utd
0-1
Livingston

Glass (17'), Fuchs (81'), Edwards (81')
Obileye (66' pen.)
McMillan (45'), Devlin (58'), Holt (79')
Oct 27, 2021 7.45pm
Livingston
1-1
Dundee Utd
Clark (37' og.)
Fitzwater (73')
Williamson (45+1')
Pawlett (43')
Niskanen (32'), Harkes (52'), Mulgrew (90+2'), McMann (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Group
1Celtic110082275581
2RangersRangers110074245078
3Hearts101046341263
4Kilmarnock10104334952
5St Mirren10013945-643
6Dundee10014556-1141
Relegation Group
1Hibernian11004752-542
2Aberdeen11003649-1338
3Motherwell10014652-637
4St Johnstone10012549-2431
5Ross County10013258-2630
6Livingston11002459-3521
 
First Phase
1Celtic33246380265478
2RangersRangers33243672234975
3Hearts33195946341262
4Kilmarnock33131284334951
5St Mirren33127143843-543
6Dundee331011124454-1041
7Hibernian33912124451-739
8Motherwell33813124651-537
9Aberdeen33811143549-1435
10St Johnstone33710162446-2231
11Ross County3379173256-2430
12Livingston3339212259-3718


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