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St Mirren logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 30
Apr 1, 2023 at 3pm UK
St Mirren Park
Livingston logo

St Mirren
3 - 0
Livingston

O'Hara (5' pen., 42' pen.), Watt (18')
O'Hara (1')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Holt (44'), Montano (66'), Devlin (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between St Mirren and Livingston, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dundee Utd 1-1 St Mirren
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Livingston 2-1 Ross County
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: St Mirren 2-1 Livingston

Both games between the sides this season have produced goals, and St Mirren should nick a narrow win over a side that have lost four of the last six on the road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 44.16%. A win for Livingston had a probability of 29.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Livingston win was 0-1 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.

Result
St MirrenDrawLivingston
44.16%26.42%29.42%
Both teams to score 50.84%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.41%53.59%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.9%75.1%
St Mirren Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.86%24.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.56%58.44%
Livingston Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.02%32.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.43%69.56%
Score Analysis
    St Mirren 44.16%
    Livingston 29.42%
    Draw 26.41%
St MirrenDrawLivingston
1-0 @ 11.31%
2-1 @ 8.92%
2-0 @ 8.04%
3-1 @ 4.23%
3-0 @ 3.81%
3-2 @ 2.35%
4-1 @ 1.5%
4-0 @ 1.35%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 44.16%
1-1 @ 12.55%
0-0 @ 7.96%
2-2 @ 4.95%
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.41%
0-1 @ 8.83%
1-2 @ 6.96%
0-2 @ 4.9%
1-3 @ 2.57%
2-3 @ 1.83%
0-3 @ 1.81%
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 29.42%

How you voted: St Mirren vs Livingston

St Mirren
58.3%
Draw
0.0%
Livingston
41.7%
12
Head to Head
Dec 28, 2022 7.45pm
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
May 11, 2022 7.45pm
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1514104444043
2Aberdeen16104230181234
3RangersRangers1510232791832
4Motherwell168172226-425
5Dundee UnitedDundee Utd166642519624
6St Mirren176382228-621
7Dundee165472729-219
8Hibernian173682129-815
9Ross County173681333-2015
10St Johnstone1742112032-1214
11Kilmarnock163581734-1714
12Hearts163491825-713


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