Scottish Premiership Gameweek 30
Apr 1, 2023 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Mark O'Hara 5' goal
  • Tony Watt 18' goal
  • Mark O'Hara 42' goal

St Mirren vs Livingston - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

St Mirren

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Mar 18, 2023 3.00pm
Dundee Utd 1 - 1 St Mirren
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Mark O'Hara

Livingston

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Mar 18, 2023 3.00pm
Livingston 2 - 1 Ross County
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Jon Nouble

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 44.16%. A win for Livingston had a probability of 29.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Livingston win was 0-1 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.

Result

St Mirren 44.16%
Draw 26.42%
Livingston 29.42%

Both Teams to Score: 

50.84%

Goals

Over 2.5 46.41%
Under 2.5 53.59%
Over 3.5 24.9%
Under 3.5 75.1%
Over 4.5 11.3%
Under 4.5 88.7%

St Mirren Goals

Over 0.5 75.86%
Under 0.5 24.13%
Over 1.5 41.56%
Under 1.5 58.44%

Livingston Goals

Over 0.5 67.02%
Under 0.5 32.98%
Over 1.5 30.43%
Under 1.5 69.56%

Score analysis

St Mirren 44.16%
Draw 26.41%
Livingston 29.42%
St Mirren
1-0 @ 11.31%
2-1 @ 8.92%
2-0 @ 8.04%
3-1 @ 4.23%
3-0 @ 3.81%
3-2 @ 2.35%
4-1 @ 1.5%
4-0 @ 1.35%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 44.16%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.55%
0-0 @ 7.96%
2-2 @ 4.95%
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.41%
Livingston
0-1 @ 8.83%
1-2 @ 6.96%
0-2 @ 4.9%
1-3 @ 2.57%
2-3 @ 1.83%
0-3 @ 1.81%
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 29.42%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership Gameweek 19
Dec 28, 2022 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Cristian Montano 56' goal
  • goal Curtis Main 63'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 9
Oct 1, 2022 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Keanu Baccus 69' goal
  • Alex Greive 90' goal
  • goal Bruce Anderson 86'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 4
May 11, 2022 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT The SMISA Stadium
  • Alex Gogic 57' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sean Kelly 25'
  • yellowcard Alan Forrest 37'
  • yellowcard Jack Fitzwater 55'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 27
Feb 19, 2022 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Bruce Anderson 55' goal
  • Jon Nouble 67' yellowcard
  • James Penrice 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Greg Kiltie 78'
  • redcard Charles Dunne 83'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 14
Nov 20, 2021 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Joe Shaughnessy 55' yellowcard
  • Jamie McGrath 68' goal
  • goal Nicky Devlin 88'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 8
Oct 2, 2021 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Jackson Longridge 78' yellowcard
  • Alan Forrest 80' yellowcard
  • goal Ethan Erhahon 29'