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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 29
Mar 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Almondvale Stadium
Ross County

Livingston
2 - 1
Ross County

Nouble (37'), Devlin (38')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Murray (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Livingston and Ross County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ross County 0-2 Motherwell
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 44.88%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Ross County had a probability of 27.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.87%) and 2-1 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.95%), while for a Ross County win it was 0-1 (9.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Livingston would win this match.

Result
LivingstonDrawRoss County
44.88% (-0.966 -0.97)27.85% (0.173 0.17)27.27% (0.79 0.79)
Both teams to score 45.47% (0.058 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.15% (-0.191 -0.19)59.84% (0.188 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.87% (-0.146 -0.15)80.12% (0.143 0.14)
Livingston Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.4% (-0.58 -0.58)26.59% (0.577 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.18% (-0.772 -0.77)61.82% (0.76900000000001 0.77)
Ross County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.95% (0.565 0.56)38.04% (-0.567 -0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.19% (0.541 0.54)74.81% (-0.544 -0.54)
Score Analysis
    Livingston 44.88%
    Ross County 27.27%
    Draw 27.84%
LivingstonDrawRoss County
1-0 @ 13.4% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-0 @ 8.87% (-0.231 -0.23)
2-1 @ 8.58% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
3-0 @ 3.92% (-0.168 -0.17)
3-1 @ 3.79% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-2 @ 1.83% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.3% (-0.078 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.25% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 44.88%
1-1 @ 12.95% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 10.11% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.14% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 27.84%
0-1 @ 9.78% (0.218 0.22)
1-2 @ 6.26% (0.133 0.13)
0-2 @ 4.73% (0.176 0.18)
1-3 @ 2.02% (0.073 0.07)
0-3 @ 1.52% (0.079 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.34% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 27.27%

How you voted: Livingston vs Ross County

Livingston
75.0%
Draw
8.3%
Ross County
16.7%
12
Head to Head
Jan 7, 2023 3pm
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Feb 9, 2022 7.45pm
Ross County
1-1
Livingston
Ramsay (90+3')
Watson (40'), Spittal (43')
Forrest (50')
Obileye (49'), Holt (90+2'), Anderson (90+3')
Dec 18, 2021 3pm
Livingston
1-1
Ross County
Obileye (89')
Penrice (72'), Obileye (90')
Cancola (45+1')
Cancola (34'), Charles-Cook (78'), Randall (88'), Baldwin (90+5')
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Ross County
2-3
Livingston
Clarke (7'), Callachan (67' pen.)
Paton (85')
Anderson (31'), Bailey (43'), Parkes (90+5')
Devlin (65'), Omeonga (79'), Obileye (90+2')