Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 44.88%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Ross County had a probability of 27.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.87%) and 2-1 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.95%), while for a Ross County win it was 0-1 (9.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Livingston would win this match.