Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ross County win with a probability of 40.24%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 32.32% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ross County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (7.43%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 1-0 (10.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ross County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Johnstone | Draw | Ross County |
| 32.32% ( | 27.45% ( | 40.24% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.95% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.42% ( | 56.58% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.44% ( | 77.56% ( |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.55% ( | 32.45% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.03% ( | 68.97% ( |
| Ross County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.46% ( | 27.55% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.94% ( | 63.06% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| St Johnstone | Draw | Ross County |
| 1-0 @ 10.06% ( 2-1 @ 7.3% ( 2-0 @ 5.66% ( 3-1 @ 2.74% ( 3-0 @ 2.12% ( 3-2 @ 1.77% ( Other @ 2.67% Total : 32.32% | 1-1 @ 12.97% ( 0-0 @ 8.94% ( 2-2 @ 4.71% ( Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.45% | 0-1 @ 11.52% ( 1-2 @ 8.36% ( 0-2 @ 7.43% ( 1-3 @ 3.59% ( 0-3 @ 3.19% ( 2-3 @ 2.02% ( 1-4 @ 1.16% ( 0-4 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 1.92% Total : 40.23% |