Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Johnstone win with a probability of 38.62%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 35.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 0-1 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| St Johnstone | Draw | Motherwell |
| 38.62% ( | 26.32% ( | 35.06% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.03% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.35% ( | 51.66% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.56% ( | 73.44% ( |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.86% ( | 26.14% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.79% ( | 61.21% ( |
| Motherwell Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.79% ( | 28.21% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.1% ( | 63.9% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| St Johnstone | Draw | Motherwell |
| 1-0 @ 9.89% ( 2-1 @ 8.4% ( 2-0 @ 6.64% ( 3-1 @ 3.76% ( 3-0 @ 2.97% ( 3-2 @ 2.38% ( 4-1 @ 1.26% ( 4-0 @ 1% ( Other @ 2.33% Total : 38.62% | 1-1 @ 12.52% 0-0 @ 7.37% ( 2-2 @ 5.32% ( 3-3 @ 1% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.32% | 0-1 @ 9.33% ( 1-2 @ 7.92% ( 0-2 @ 5.9% ( 1-3 @ 3.34% ( 0-3 @ 2.49% ( 2-3 @ 2.24% ( 1-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.76% Total : 35.06% |