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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 29
Mar 18, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Fir Park Stadium
Rangers logo

Motherwell
2 - 4
Rangers

van Veen (3'), Mugabi (59')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Tavernier (23'), Sakala (47'), Cantwell (62'), Tillman (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Motherwell and Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rangers win with a probability of 73.8%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Motherwell had a probability of 9.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rangers win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.21%) and 0-3 (10.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.91%), while for a Motherwell win it was 1-0 (3.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rangers would win this match.

Result
MotherwellDrawRangers
9.57% (0.3451 0.35)16.64% (0.042000000000002 0.04)73.8% (-0.377 -0.38)
Both teams to score 45.66% (1.288 1.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.4% (0.93 0.93)41.6% (-0.921 -0.92)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36% (0.934 0.93)64% (-0.92400000000001 -0.92)
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.6% (1.348 1.35)49.4% (-1.338 -1.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.77% (0.934 0.93)84.24% (-0.925 -0.92)
Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.24% (0.151 0.15)9.76% (-0.142 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.53% (0.34 0.34)32.47% (-0.33199999999999 -0.33)
Score Analysis
    Motherwell 9.57%
    Rangers 73.78%
    Draw 16.64%
MotherwellDrawRangers
1-0 @ 3.4% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-1 @ 2.79% (0.116 0.12)
2-0 @ 1.2% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 9.57%
1-1 @ 7.91% (0.029 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.82% (-0.203 -0.2)
2-2 @ 3.25% (0.154 0.15)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 16.64%
0-2 @ 13.05% (-0.38 -0.38)
0-1 @ 11.21% (-0.4 -0.4)
0-3 @ 10.12% (-0.23 -0.23)
1-2 @ 9.21% (0.090999999999999 0.09)
1-3 @ 7.14% (0.115 0.11)
0-4 @ 5.89% (-0.096 -0.1)
1-4 @ 4.15% (0.092 0.09)
0-5 @ 2.74% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.52% (0.135 0.14)
1-5 @ 1.93% (0.055 0.06)
2-4 @ 1.47% (0.087 0.09)
0-6 @ 1.06% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 73.78%

How you voted: Motherwell vs Rangers

Motherwell
8.6%
Draw
14.3%
Rangers
77.1%
35
Head to Head
Dec 28, 2022 7.45pm
Oct 16, 2022 12pm
Apr 23, 2022 12pm
Motherwell
1-3
Rangers
Tierney (35')
Ojala (31'), Slattery (60'), Mugabi (61')
Kelly (14' og.), Wright (47'), Tavernier (62' pen.)
Arfield (45')
Balogun (28')
Feb 27, 2022 3pm
Rangers
2-2
Motherwell
Morelos (22'), Sakala (24')
Morelos (56'), Tavernier (75')
Roberts (52'), Woolery (76')
Efford (28'), O'Donnell (71'), Donnelly (80')
Oct 31, 2021 12pm
Motherwell
1-6
Rangers
Mugabi (13')
O'Donnell (9'), Mugabi (76')
O'Donnell (67')
Tavernier (43'), Sakala (45+1', 63', 86'), Kamara (75'), Roofe (90+1')