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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 31
Apr 8, 2023 at 3pm UK
Fir Park Stadium
Livingston logo

Motherwell
3 - 0
Livingston

van Veen (9', 33'), Johnston (34')
FT(HT: 3-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Motherwell and Livingston, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hibernian 1-3 Motherwell
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Mirren 3-0 Livingston
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 40.28%. A win for Livingston had a probability of 34.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Livingston win was 0-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Motherwell would win this match.

Result
MotherwellDrawLivingston
40.28% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)25.4% (0.004999999999999 0)34.32% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 56.01% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.22% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)47.77% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.04% (-0.014999999999997 -0.01)69.96% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.5% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)23.5% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.46% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)57.53% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Livingston Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.21% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)26.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.93%62.07%
Score Analysis
    Motherwell 40.28%
    Livingston 34.32%
    Draw 25.39%
MotherwellDrawLivingston
1-0 @ 9.12% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-1 @ 8.7% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 6.6% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 4.2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 3.19% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 2.77% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.52% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.15% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 40.28%
1-1 @ 12%
0-0 @ 6.29% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 5.73% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.39%
0-1 @ 8.29% (0.004999999999999 0)
1-2 @ 7.91% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 5.46% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 3.47%
2-3 @ 2.52% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.4% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 1.14%
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 34.32%

How you voted: Motherwell vs Livingston

Motherwell
55.6%
Draw
33.3%
Livingston
11.1%
9
Head to Head
Jan 2, 2023 3pm
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Livingston
2-2
Motherwell
Bailey (26'), Forrest (58')
Kelly (80')
Slattery (72'), Lamie (90+3')
Slattery (61'), Johansen (90+2')
Dec 26, 2021 3pm
Aug 21, 2021 3pm