Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 89.55%. A draw had a probability of 7.4% and a win for Motherwell had a probability of 3.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 4-0 (10.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.5%), while for a Motherwell win it was 0-1 (1.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Celtic | Draw | Motherwell |
89.55% ( 0.91) | 7.43% ( -0.59) | 3.02% ( -0.32) |
Both teams to score 41.99% ( -0.33) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
76.6% ( 1.37) | 23.4% ( -1.37) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
57.2% ( 1.82) | 42.8% ( -1.82) |
Celtic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
96.85% ( 0.33) | 3.15% ( -0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
85.98% ( 1.14) | 14.02% ( -1.14) |
Motherwell Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
43.35% ( -0.49) | 56.64% ( 0.48) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
11.16% ( -0.28) | 88.84% ( 0.28) |
Score Analysis |
Celtic | Draw | Motherwell |
3-0 @ 12.29% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 10.65% ( -0.36) 4-0 @ 10.63% ( 0.28) 5-0 @ 7.36% ( 0.4) 3-1 @ 6.99% ( -0.13) 1-0 @ 6.16% ( -0.4) 2-1 @ 6.06% ( -0.3) 4-1 @ 6.04% ( 0.07) 6-0 @ 4.24% ( 0.35) 5-1 @ 4.18% ( 0.17) 6-1 @ 2.41% ( 0.17) 7-0 @ 2.1% ( 0.23) 3-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.01) 7-1 @ 1.19% ( 0.11) 5-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.03) 8-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.12) Other @ 3.45% Total : 89.54% | 1-1 @ 3.5% ( -0.29) 0-0 @ 1.78% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.43% Total : 7.43% | 0-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 1% ( -0.1) Other @ 1.01% Total : 3.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 15 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 44 | 4 | 40 | 43 |
2 | Aberdeen | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 34 |
3 | RangersRangers | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 9 | 18 | 32 |
4 | Motherwell | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 25 |
5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 24 |
6 | St Mirren | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 21 |
7 | Dundee | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 19 |
8 | Hibernian | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 15 |
9 | Ross County | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 33 | -20 | 15 |
10 | St Johnstone | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 14 |
11 | Kilmarnock | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 34 | -17 | 14 |
12 | Hearts | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |