Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 32

Apr 16, 2023 at 12pm UK

Rugby Park

Kilmarnock
1 - 4
Celtic

Donnelly (45')

FT(HT: 1-4)

Furuhashi (7'), Maeda (12'), O'Riley (18', 27')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Scottish Premiership clash between Kilmarnock and Celtic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kilmarnock

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Aberdeen 2-0 Kilmarnock
Saturday, April 8 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Celtic

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Celtic 3-2 Rangers
Saturday, April 8 at 12.30pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 75.26%. A draw had a probability of 15.5% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 9.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.03%) and 0-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.34%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 1-0 (2.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.

Result
Kilmarnock	Draw	Celtic
9.25% ( -0.3)	15.5% ( -0.25)	75.26% ( 0.56)

Both teams to score 48.55% (

-0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.86% (

0.22)

37.14% (

-0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.66% (

0.23)

59.34% (

-0.23)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.95% (

-0.48)

47.05% (

0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.48% (

-0.37)

82.52% (

0.37)

Celtic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.69% (

0.18)

8.32% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71% (

0.44)

29% (

-0.43)

Score Analysis

Kilmarnock 9.25%

Celtic 75.26%

Draw 15.5%

Kilmarnock	Draw	Celtic
1-0 @ 2.95% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 2.77% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.42% Total : 9.25%	1-1 @ 7.34% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 3.91% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.81% Total : 15.5%	0-2 @ 12.1% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 10.03% ( 0.15) 0-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 9.12% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 7.56% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 6.24% ( 0.14) 1-4 @ 4.7% ( 0.04) 0-5 @ 3.1% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.04) 1-5 @ 2.34% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.77% ( -0.01) 0-6 @ 1.29% ( 0.05) 1-6 @ 0.97% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.45% Total : 75.26%