Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 42.59%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 30.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 0-1 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Livingston would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Livingston | Draw | St Johnstone |
| 42.59% ( | 26.65% ( | 30.76% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.8% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.04% ( | 53.96% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.59% ( | 75.4% ( |
| Livingston Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.92% ( | 25.08% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.23% ( | 59.77% ( |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.81% ( | 32.19% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.32% ( | 68.68% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Livingston | Draw | St Johnstone |
| 1-0 @ 11.16% ( 2-1 @ 8.75% ( 2-0 @ 7.72% ( 3-1 @ 4.04% 3-0 @ 3.56% ( 3-2 @ 2.29% ( 4-1 @ 1.4% 4-0 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.44% Total : 42.58% | 1-1 @ 12.65% 0-0 @ 8.08% ( 2-2 @ 4.96% ( Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.64% | 0-1 @ 9.15% 1-2 @ 7.17% ( 0-2 @ 5.19% ( 1-3 @ 2.71% ( 0-3 @ 1.96% ( 2-3 @ 1.87% ( Other @ 2.71% Total : 30.76% |