Scottish Premiership Gameweek 34
May 6, 2023 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Fir Park
  • Blair Spittal 4' goal
  • Kevin van Veen 90'+1' goal

Motherwell vs Kilmarnock - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Motherwell

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Apr 22, 2023 3.00pm
Celtic 1 - 1 Motherwell
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Kevin van Veen

Kilmarnock

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Apr 22, 2023 3.00pm
St Mirren 0 - 2 Kilmarnock
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Danny Armstrong

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 46.37%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 28.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Motherwell would win this match.

Result

Motherwell 46.37% (+2.12)
Draw 25.5% (-0.02)
Kilmarnock 28.13% (-2.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.86% (-1.24)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.4% (-1.03)
Under 2.5 50.6% (+1.02)
Over 3.5 27.49% (-0.91)
Under 3.5 72.51% (+0.91)
Over 4.5 12.97% (-0.61)
Under 4.5 87.03% (+0.61)

Motherwell Goals

Over 0.5 78.18% (+0.54)
Under 0.5 21.81% (-0.55)
Over 1.5 44.97% (+0.82)
Under 1.5 55.03% (-0.82)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5 67.61% (-2.07)
Under 0.5 32.39% (+2.06)
Over 1.5 31.1% (-2.40)
Under 1.5 68.9% (+2.40)

Score analysis

Motherwell 46.36%
Draw 25.5%
Kilmarnock 28.13%
Motherwell
1-0 @ 10.75% (+0.60)
2-1 @ 9.23% (+0.16)
2-0 @ 8.19% (+0.59)
3-1 @ 4.69% (+0.16)
3-0 @ 4.16% (+0.36)
3-2 @ 2.64% (-0.07)
4-1 @ 1.78% (+0.09)
4-0 @ 1.58% (+0.16)
4-2 @ 1.01% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 46.36%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.12% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.07% (+0.29)
2-2 @ 5.21% (-0.21)
Other @ 1.11%
Total : 25.5%
Kilmarnock
0-1 @ 7.97% (-0.13)
1-2 @ 6.84% (-0.40)
0-2 @ 4.49% (-0.34)
1-3 @ 2.57% (-0.31)
2-3 @ 1.96% (-0.20)
0-3 @ 1.69% (-0.24)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 28.13%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership Gameweek 27
Feb 25, 2023 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Scott Robinson 17' goal
  • goal Callum Slattery 90'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 18
Dec 23, 2022 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Kevin van Veen 22' goal
  • Callum Slattery 60' goal
  • goal Paul McGinn 73' (OG)
  • goal Liam Polworth 75'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 5
Aug 27, 2022 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Danny Armstrong 71' goal
  • Ash Taylor 76' goal
  • Danny Armstrong 83' yellowcard
  • Alan Power 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Kevin van Veen 14'
  • yellowcard Stephen O'Donnell 19'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 3
May 1, 2021 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Fir Park
  • Devante Cole 47' goal
  • Allan Campbell 77' yellowcard
  • Chris Long 78' yellowcard
  • Nathan McGinley 79' yellowcard
  • Stephen O'Donnell 85' goal
  • yellowcard Kirk Broadfoot 85'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 32
Mar 20, 2021 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Kyle Lafferty 1' goal
  • Aaron McGowan 45' yellowcard
  • Rory McKenzie 55' goal
  • Chris Burke 57' goal
  • Kyle Lafferty 58' yellowcard
  • Alan Power 72' yellowcard
  • Mitchell Pinnock 83' goal
  • goal Barry Maguire 8'
  • yellowcard Jordan Roberts 42'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 10
Feb 10, 2021 6.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Allan Campbell 71'
  • yellowcard Tony Watt 78'
  • yellowcard Stephen O'Donnell 81'