Scottish Premiership Gameweek 33
Apr 22, 2023 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • goal Liam Donnelly 18'
  • goal Christian Doidge 35'

St Mirren vs Kilmarnock - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

St Mirren

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Apr 15, 2023 3.00pm
Rangers 5 - 2 St Mirren
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Mark O'Hara

Kilmarnock

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Apr 16, 2023 12.00pm
Kilmarnock 1 - 4 Celtic
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Danny Armstrong

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 44.82%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 28.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result

St Mirren 44.82% (-0.08)
Draw 26.53% (+0.03)
Kilmarnock 28.65% (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.06% (-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.6% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 54.4% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 24.23% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 75.77% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 10.87% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 89.13% (+0.03)

St Mirren Goals

Over 0.5 75.83% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 24.17% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 41.51% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 58.49% (+0.09)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5 66.02% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 33.98% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 29.34% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 70.66% (-0.03)

Score analysis

St Mirren 44.81%
Draw 26.52%
Kilmarnock 28.65%
St Mirren
1-0 @ 11.66%
2-1 @ 8.94% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.28% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.23% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.92% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.28% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.5% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.39% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 44.81%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.58%
0-0 @ 8.21% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.82% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 26.52%
Kilmarnock
0-1 @ 8.86% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 6.79% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.78% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.44% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.74%
0-3 @ 1.72% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 28.65%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership Gameweek 20
Jan 2, 2023 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 11
Oct 15, 2022 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 4
May 12, 2021 7.45pm
3
3
HT : 1 0
FT BBSP Stadium Rugby Park
  • Kyle Lafferty 8' goal
  • Kyle Lafferty 34' yellowcard
  • Alan Power 61' yellowcard
  • Kyle Lafferty 62' goal
  • Greg Kiltie 81' goal
  • yellowcard Danny Finlayson 38'
  • goal Jamie McGrath 63'
  • goal Cameron MacPherson 78'
  • goal Collin Quaner 83'
Scottish Cup
Apr 26, 2021 7.45pm
3
3
HT : 2 1
ET BBSP Stadium Rugby Park
  • Zeno Rossi 37' goal
  • Greg Kiltie 44' goal
  • George Oakley 66' yellowcard
  • Aaron Tshibola 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Ross Millen 101' goal
  • Gary Dicker 108' yellowcard
  • goal Ilkay Durmus 25'
  • yellowcard Conor McCarthy 82'
  • goal Joe Shaughnessy 84'
  • yellowcard Kyle McAllister 101'
  • yellowcard Jak Alnwick 101'
  • goal Jamie McGrath 119'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 28
Feb 6, 2021 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Kyle McAllister 38' goal
  • Jonathan Obika 61' goal
  • Jake Doyle-Hayes 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Aaron Tshibola 45'
  • yellowcard Danny Whitehall 65'
  • yellowcard Brandon Haunstrup 66'
  • yellowcard Chris Burke 74'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 22
Jan 2, 2021 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Danny Whitehall 12' goal
  • Youssouf Mulumbu 23' yellowcard
  • Aaron McGowan 89' yellowcard
  • Danny Rogers 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kyle McAllister 71'
  • goal Danny Rogers 90' (OG)
  • yellowcard Jake Doyle-Hayes 90'+3'