Scottish Championship | Gameweek 36

May 5, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Allan Park

Cove Rangers
1 - 2
Morton

Glass (45')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Baird (2'), Muirhead (73')

Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Cove Rangers and Greenock Morton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cove Rangers

All competitions

Last Game: Dundee 0-0 Cove Rangers
Friday, April 28 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Greenock Morton

All competitions

Last Game: Morton 2-1 Queen's Park
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 45%. A win for Cove Rangers had a probability of 31.02% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Cove Rangers win was 2-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Greenock Morton in this match.

Result
Cove Rangers	Draw	Greenock Morton
31.02% ( 2.11)	23.98% ( 0.24)	45% ( -2.35)

Both teams to score 59.72% (

0.48)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.6% (

0.06)

42.4% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.19% (

0.06)

64.8% (

-0.06)

Cove Rangers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.78% (

1.42)

26.22% (

-1.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.68% (

1.87)

61.32% (

-1.87)

Greenock Morton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.94% (

-0.93)

19.06% (

0.93)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.35% (

-1.57)

50.65% (

1.56)

Score Analysis

Cove Rangers 31.02%

Greenock Morton 45%

Draw 23.98%

Cove Rangers	Draw	Greenock Morton
2-1 @ 7.42% ( 0.35) 1-0 @ 6.69% ( 0.25) 2-0 @ 4.48% ( 0.34) 3-1 @ 3.31% ( 0.28) 3-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.16) 3-0 @ 2% ( 0.22) 4-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.13) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.35% Total : 31.02%	1-1 @ 11.08% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 5% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.98%	1-2 @ 9.19% ( -0.2) 0-1 @ 8.28% ( -0.27) 0-2 @ 6.87% ( -0.44) 1-3 @ 5.08% ( -0.27) 0-3 @ 3.79% ( -0.37) 2-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 2.11% ( -0.18) 0-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.2) 2-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.3% Total : 45%