Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 62.71%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Cove Rangers had a probability of 16.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 1-0 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.59%), while for a Cove Rangers win it was 1-2 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greenock Morton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Cove Rangers |
| 62.71% ( | 20.42% ( | 16.87% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.4% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.72% ( | 41.28% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.32% ( | 63.68% ( |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.42% ( | 12.58% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.34% ( | 38.66% ( |
| Cove Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.23% ( | 37.77% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.46% ( | 74.54% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Cove Rangers |
| 2-0 @ 10.2% ( 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 1-0 @ 9.85% ( 3-0 @ 7.06% ( 3-1 @ 6.87% ( 4-0 @ 3.66% ( 4-1 @ 3.56% ( 3-2 @ 3.34% ( 4-2 @ 1.73% ( 5-0 @ 1.52% ( 5-1 @ 1.48% ( Other @ 3.5% Total : 62.7% | 1-1 @ 9.59% ( 2-2 @ 4.84% ( 0-0 @ 4.75% ( 3-3 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 20.42% | 1-2 @ 4.67% ( 0-1 @ 4.63% ( 0-2 @ 2.25% ( 2-3 @ 1.57% ( 1-3 @ 1.52% ( Other @ 2.23% Total : 16.87% |