Scottish Cup | Fourth Round

Jan 31, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Balmoral Stadium

Cove Rangers
0 - 3
Ayr

FT(HT: 0-1)

McKenzie (23'), Akinyemi (68'), Ashford (77')

Coverage of the Scottish Cup Fourth Round clash between Cove Rangers and Ayr United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cove Rangers

All competitions

Last Game: Cove Rangers 0-5 Ayr
Friday, January 27 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Ayr United

All competitions

Last Game: Cove Rangers 0-5 Ayr
Friday, January 27 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 42.37%. A win for Cove Rangers had a probability of 33.85% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.49%) and 0-2 (6.15%). The likeliest Cove Rangers win was 2-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayr United would win this match.

Result
Cove Rangers	Draw	Ayr United
33.85% ( -7.32)	23.78% ( -0.13)	42.37% ( 7.46)

Both teams to score 61.66% (

0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.64% (

0.39)

40.37% (

-0.39)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.26% (

0.4)

62.74% (

-0.4)

Cove Rangers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.45% (

-3.51)

23.55% (

3.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.4% (

-5.35)

57.61% (

5.35)

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.66% (

3.8)

19.35% (

-3.8)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.87% (

5.89)

51.13% (

-5.88)

Score Analysis

Cove Rangers 33.85%

Ayr United 42.37%

Draw 23.78%

Cove Rangers	Draw	Ayr United
2-1 @ 7.83% ( -0.94) 1-0 @ 6.59% ( -0.87) 2-0 @ 4.76% ( -1.23) 3-1 @ 3.77% ( -0.93) 3-2 @ 3.1% ( -0.34) 3-0 @ 2.3% ( -0.92) 4-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.52) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.26) Other @ 3.02% Total : 33.85%	1-1 @ 10.82% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 6.43% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.56% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.78%	1-2 @ 8.89% ( 0.91) 0-1 @ 7.49% ( 0.7) 0-2 @ 6.15% ( 1.18) 1-3 @ 4.87% ( 0.97) 2-3 @ 3.52% ( 0.39) 0-3 @ 3.37% ( 0.94) 1-4 @ 2% ( 0.57) 2-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.3) 0-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.5) Other @ 3.27% Total : 42.37%