Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 40.55%. A win for Cove Rangers had a probability of 33.16% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Cove Rangers win was 1-0 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cove Rangers | Draw | Raith Rovers |
| 33.16% ( | 26.29% ( | 40.55% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.75% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.16% ( | 51.84% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.4% ( | 73.6% ( |
| Cove Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.51% ( | 29.49% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.5% ( | 65.5% ( |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.82% ( | 25.18% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.09% ( | 59.91% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Cove Rangers | Draw | Raith Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 9.07% ( 2-1 @ 7.64% ( 2-0 @ 5.54% ( 3-1 @ 3.11% ( 3-0 @ 2.25% ( 3-2 @ 2.14% ( 4-1 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 2.46% Total : 33.16% | 1-1 @ 12.5% ( 0-0 @ 7.43% ( 2-2 @ 5.26% ( 3-3 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.29% | 0-1 @ 10.24% ( 1-2 @ 8.62% ( 0-2 @ 7.06% ( 1-3 @ 3.96% ( 0-3 @ 3.25% ( 2-3 @ 2.42% ( 1-4 @ 1.37% ( 0-4 @ 1.12% ( Other @ 2.51% Total : 40.55% |