Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 52.97%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 0-1 (6.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Ayr United | Draw | Greenock Morton |
52.97% ( -0) | 24.22% ( 0) | 22.8% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 51.82% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.46% ( -0.01) | 49.53% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.43% ( -0.01) | 71.56% ( 0.01) |
Ayr United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.35% ( -0) | 18.65% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.04% ( -0.01) | 49.96% ( 0.01) |
Greenock Morton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.7% ( -0) | 36.29% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.92% ( -0) | 73.08% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Ayr United | Draw | Greenock Morton |
1-0 @ 11.36% 2-1 @ 9.67% 2-0 @ 9.54% 3-1 @ 5.42% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.34% 3-2 @ 2.75% 4-1 @ 2.27% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.24% 4-2 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.21% Total : 52.97% | 1-1 @ 11.52% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.77% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.9% 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.22% | 0-1 @ 6.86% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.84% 0-2 @ 3.48% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.97% 2-3 @ 1.66% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 1.83% Total : 22.8% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 38 |
2 | Livingston | 16 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 33 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 31 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 25 |
6 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 18 |
7 | Raith Rovers | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 18 |
8 | Greenock MortonMorton | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 16 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 15 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 8 | 31 | -23 | 6 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |