Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 48.95%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 25.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for an Ayr United win it was 0-1 (8%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Greenock Morton | Draw | Ayr United |
48.95% ( -0.31) | 25.69% ( 0.22) | 25.35% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 50.07% ( -0.56) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.82% ( -0.78) | 53.17% ( 0.78) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.26% ( -0.66) | 74.74% ( 0.66) |
Greenock Morton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.26% ( -0.45) | 21.74% ( 0.45) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.08% ( -0.7) | 54.92% ( 0.7) |
Ayr United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.98% ( -0.34) | 36.01% ( 0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.2% ( -0.36) | 72.79% ( 0.36) |
Score Analysis |
Greenock Morton | Draw | Ayr United |
1-0 @ 11.94% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 9.31% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 9.12% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.74% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 4.64% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.77% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.29% Total : 48.95% | 1-1 @ 12.2% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 7.83% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.91% Total : 25.69% | 0-1 @ 8% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 6.23% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.08% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.39% ( 0) Other @ 1.91% Total : 25.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 73 | 23 | 50 | 75 |
2 | Raith Rovers | 36 | 20 | 9 | 7 | 58 | 42 | 16 | 69 |
3 | Partick ThistlePartick | 36 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 63 | 54 | 9 | 55 |
4 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 44 | 44 | 0 | 52 |
5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 45 |
6 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 45 |
7 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 53 | 61 | -8 | 44 |
8 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 43 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 36 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 42 |
10 | Arbroath | 36 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 35 | 89 | -54 | 23 |
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