Scottish Championship | Gameweek 20

Mar 7, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Cappielow Park, Sinclair Street, Greenock

Morton
1 - 3
Ayr

Crawford (29')

FT(HT: 1-3)

Ashford (7'), McGinty (34'), Akinyemi (43')

Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Greenock Morton and Ayr United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Greenock Morton

All competitions

Last Game: Queen's Park 2-2 Morton
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Ayr United

All competitions

Scottish Championship

Last Game: Ayr 1-2 Inverness
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 48.95%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 25.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for an Ayr United win it was 0-1 (8%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result
Greenock Morton	Draw	Ayr United
48.95% ( -0.31)	25.69% ( 0.22)	25.35% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 50.07% (

-0.56)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.82% (

-0.78)

53.17% (

0.78)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.26% (

-0.66)

74.74% (

0.66)

Greenock Morton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.26% (

-0.45)

21.74% (

0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.08% (

-0.7)

54.92% (

0.7)

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.98% (

-0.34)

36.01% (

0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.2% (

-0.36)

72.79% (

0.36)

Score Analysis

Greenock Morton 48.95%

Ayr United 25.35%

Draw 25.69%

Greenock Morton	Draw	Ayr United
1-0 @ 11.94% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 9.31% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 9.12% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.74% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 4.64% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.77% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.29% Total : 48.95%	1-1 @ 12.2% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 7.83% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.91% Total : 25.69%	0-1 @ 8% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 6.23% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.08% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.39% ( 0) Other @ 1.91% Total : 25.35%