Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 59.84%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Cove Rangers had a probability of 18.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a Cove Rangers win it was 1-2 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayr United would win this match.