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Ayr United
Scottish Championship | Gameweek 30
Mar 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Somerset Park
Cove Rangers

Ayr
3 - 0
Cove Rangers

O'Connor (7'), Akinyemi (24'), Mitchell-Lawson (74')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Ayr United and Cove Rangers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ayr United

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last Game: Dundee 3-1 Ayr
Tuesday, March 21 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship

Cove Rangers

All competitions
Last Game: Raith Rovers 6-1 Cove Rangers
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 59.84%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Cove Rangers had a probability of 18.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a Cove Rangers win it was 1-2 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayr United would win this match.

Result
Ayr UnitedDrawCove Rangers
59.84% (-0.3 -0.3)21.36% (0.172 0.17)18.8% (0.131 0.13)
Both teams to score 55.05% (-0.348 -0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.71% (-0.575 -0.57)42.29% (0.577 0.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.3% (-0.576 -0.58)64.69% (0.578 0.58)
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.25% (-0.274 -0.27)13.75% (0.276 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.98% (-0.549 -0.55)41.02% (0.551 0.55)
Cove Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.82% (-0.2 -0.2)36.17% (0.202 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.04% (-0.202 -0.2)72.96% (0.20400000000001 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Ayr United 59.84%
    Cove Rangers 18.8%
    Draw 21.36%
Ayr UnitedDrawCove Rangers
2-1 @ 9.96%
1-0 @ 9.87% (0.153 0.15)
2-0 @ 9.79% (0.054 0.05)
3-1 @ 6.59% (-0.068 -0.07)
3-0 @ 6.48% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.35% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-1 @ 3.27% (-0.067 -0.07)
4-0 @ 3.21% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.66% (-0.043 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.3% (-0.04 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.28% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 59.84%
1-1 @ 10.03% (0.099 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.06% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.97% (0.127 0.13)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 21.36%
1-2 @ 5.1% (0.024 0.02)
0-1 @ 5.06% (0.102 0.1)
0-2 @ 2.57% (0.039 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.73% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.72% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 18.8%

How you voted: Ayr vs Cove Rangers

Ayr United
62.5%
Draw
25.0%
Cove Rangers
12.5%
8
Head to Head
Jan 31, 2023 7.45pm
Fourth Round
Cove Rangers
0-3
Ayr

Ross (18'), Vigurs (47'), Megginson (57'), Logan (71'), Scully (79')
Megginson (58')
McKenzie (23'), Akinyemi (68'), Ashford (77')
Reading (63'), Ashford (67'), McGinty (75'), Bangala (78')
Jan 27, 2023 7.45pm
Cove Rangers
0-5
Ayr

McClelland (21')
McAllister (21'), Dempsey (55'), Mullin (61', 88'), Bryden (82')
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Ayr
2-2
Cove Rangers
Akinyemi (29'), Kirk (37')
Scully (31'), McDonagh (52')
Sanders (68')
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Cove Rangers
1-2
Ayr
Masson (90+2' pen.)
Dempsey (59' pen.), Akinyemi (68')
rhs 2.0


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