Scottish Championship | Gameweek 28
Mar 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Dens Park
Dundee3 - 1Ayr
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Partick 0-0 Dundee
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Hamilton 0-2 Ayr
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Goals
for
for
52
We said: Dundee 1-0 Ayr United
With Queen's Park putting a considerable gap between themselves and these two chasing sides, Tuesday's clash is likely to be a cagey affair given the amount at stake. Promotion arguably means more to Ayr given their 45-year exile from the top flight, but Dundee could have a little too much quality for their opponents. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 49.93%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 26.18% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 1-2 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Dundee would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dundee | Draw | Ayr United |
49.93% ( -3.03) | 23.89% ( 0.8) | 26.18% ( 2.23) |
| Both teams to score 56.54% ( -0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
