Scottish Championship Gameweek 28
Mar 21, 2023 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Ryan Sweeney 13' goal
  • Alex Jakubiak 59' goal
  • Luke McCowan 80' goal
  • goal Dipo Akinyemi 17'

Dundee vs Ayr United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Dundee

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Mar 18, 2023 3.00pm
Partick 0 - 0 Dundee
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Zach Robinson

Ayr United

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Mar 18, 2023 3.00pm
Hamilton 0 - 2 Ayr
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Dipo Akinyemi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 49.93%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 26.18% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 1-2 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Dundee would win this match.

Result

Dundee 49.93% (-3.04)
Draw 23.89% (+0.81)
Ayr United 26.18% (+2.23)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.54% (-0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.97% (-1.55)
Under 2.5 45.03% (+1.55)
Over 3.5 32.62% (-1.51)
Under 3.5 67.38% (+1.51)

Dundee Goals

Over 0.5 81.89% (-1.70)
Under 0.5 18.1% (+1.70)
Over 1.5 50.95% (-2.99)
Under 1.5 49.05% (+2.98)

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5 69.04% (+0.98)
Under 0.5 30.96% (-0.99)
Over 1.5 32.74% (+1.14)
Under 1.5 67.26% (-1.14)

Score analysis

Dundee 49.93%
Draw 23.89%
Ayr United 26.18%
Dundee
2-1 @ 9.6% (-0.18)
1-0 @ 9.58% (+0.11)
2-0 @ 8.19% (-0.38)
3-1 @ 5.47% (-0.42)
3-0 @ 4.66% (-0.50)
3-2 @ 3.21% (-0.16)
4-1 @ 2.34% (-0.33)
4-0 @ 1.99% (-0.34)
4-2 @ 1.37% (-0.15)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 49.93%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.23% (+0.42)
2-2 @ 5.63% (+0.06)
0-0 @ 5.61% (+0.37)
3-3 @ 1.25% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.89%
Ayr United
1-2 @ 6.59% (+0.42)
0-1 @ 6.57% (+0.59)
0-2 @ 3.85% (+0.44)
1-3 @ 2.57% (+0.23)
2-3 @ 2.2% (+0.08)
0-3 @ 1.51% (+0.21)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 26.18%

Head to Head

Scottish Championship Gameweek 19
Dec 23, 2022 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Luke McCowan 68'
  • goal Luke McCowan 84'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 11
Oct 15, 2022 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Paul McMullan 38' goal
  • Zach Robinson 49' goal
  • goal Josh Mullin 61'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 5
Aug 26, 2022 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Dipo Akinyemi 17' goal
  • Jordan Houston 62' goal
  • Dipo Akinyemi 67' goal
  • Andy Murdoch 73' yellowcard
  • goal Zak Rudden 4'
  • yellowcard Ryan Sweeney 30'
  • redcard Ryan Sweeney 90'+2'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 23
Apr 6, 2021 7.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT
  • yellowcard Jordan Marshall 51'
  • goal Max Anderson 68'
  • yellowcard Danny Mullen 70'
  • goal Jonathan Afolabi 74'
  • goal Paul McGowan 87'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 13
Mar 16, 2021 7.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Charlie Adam 45' yellowcard
  • Osman Sow 86' goal
  • goal Mark McKenzie 18'
  • goal Cammy Smith 49'
  • yellowcard Mark McKenzie 65'
  • yellowcard Viljami Sinisalo 71'
  • goal Mark McKenzie 84'
  • yellowcard 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Corrie Ndaba 90'+2'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 5
Nov 21, 2020 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Cammy Smith 3' goal
  • Michael Moffat 16' goal
  • Viljami Sinisalo 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Shaun Byrne 73'
  • yellowcard Jordan Marshall 90'+1'