Scottish Cup
Mar 13, 2023 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Falkirk Community Stadium
  • Callumn Morrison 66' goal
  • Kai Kennedy 83' goal
  • goal Dipo Akinyemi 12'

Falkirk vs Ayr United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Falkirk

All competitions

Ayr United

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 62.99%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 15.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.24%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for an Ayr United win it was 0-1 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Falkirk in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Falkirk.

Result

Falkirk 62.99% (+0.06)
Draw 21.04% (-0.02)
Ayr United 15.98% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.34% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.31% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 45.69% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 31.99% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 68.01% (-0.02)

Falkirk Goals

Over 0.5 86.12% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 13.88% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 58.72% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 41.28% (-0.05)

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5 58.45% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 41.55% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 21.96% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 78.04% (+0.03)

Score analysis

Falkirk 62.98%
Draw 21.04%
Ayr United 15.98%
Falkirk
1-0 @ 11.38%
2-0 @ 11.24% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.88% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 7.4% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 6.5% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 3.66% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 3.21% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.86% (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.44% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.41% (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.27% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 62.98%
Draw
1-1 @ 10% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.77% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.34% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 21.04%
Ayr United
0-1 @ 5.06% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 4.39% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.22% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.29% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.27% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 15.98%

Head to Head

Scottish League Cup
Jul 24, 2021 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Somerset Park
Scottish League Cup
Jul 20, 2019 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Luke McCowan 26' goal
  • Michael Moffat 36' yellowcard
  • Ross Doohan 47' yellowcard
  • Andrew Geggan 75' goal
  • Aaron Muirhead 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ian McShane 22'
  • goal Declan McManus 42'
  • redcard Mark Durnan 47'
  • yellowcard Gregor Buchanan 78'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 28
Mar 8, 2019 7.05pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Falkirk Community Stadium (Falkirk)
  • Jordan McGhee 27' goal
  • Jordan McGhee 40' goal
Scottish Championship Gameweek 20
Jan 5, 2019 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Somerset Park (Ayr)
  • Declan McDaid 74' yellowcard
  • goal Zak Rudden 56'
  • yellowcard Thomas Robson 90'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 12
Nov 3, 2018 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Falkirk Community Stadium (Falkirk)
  • Andrew Irving 87' yellowcard
  • goal Craig Moore 51'
  • yellowcard Andy Murdoch 57'
  • yellowcard Lawrence Shankland 64'
  • yellowcard Daniel Harvie 67'
  • yellowcard Jamie Adams 9012'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 5
Sep 15, 2018 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 0 2
FT Somerset Park (Ayr)
  • Lawrence Shankland 48' goal
  • Andy Geggan 63' goal
  • Leonardo Fasan 65' goal
  • Liam Smith 75' yellowcard
  • Craig Moore 92' yellowcard
  • goal Zak Rudden 18'
  • goal Deimantas Petravicius 25'
  • yellowcard Aaron Muirhead 71'