Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 39.79%. A win for Falkirk had a probability of 36.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.5%) and 2-0 (5.85%). The likeliest Falkirk win was 1-2 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.