Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 39.79%. A win for Falkirk had a probability of 36.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.5%) and 2-0 (5.85%). The likeliest Falkirk win was 1-2 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Airdrieonians | Draw | Falkirk |
| 39.79% ( | 24.12% ( | 36.09% ( |
| Both teams to score 60.91% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.45% ( | 41.55% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.05% ( | 63.95% ( |
| Airdrieonians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.98% ( | 21.02% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.19% ( | 53.81% ( |
| Falkirk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.12% ( | 22.88% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.37% ( | 56.63% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Airdrieonians | Draw | Falkirk |
| 2-1 @ 8.63% ( 1-0 @ 7.5% ( 2-0 @ 5.85% ( 3-1 @ 4.49% ( 3-2 @ 3.31% ( 3-0 @ 3.04% ( 4-1 @ 1.75% ( 4-2 @ 1.29% ( 4-0 @ 1.19% ( Other @ 2.76% Total : 39.8% | 1-1 @ 11.06% ( 2-2 @ 6.36% ( 0-0 @ 4.81% ( 3-3 @ 1.63% ( Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.12% | 1-2 @ 8.16% ( 0-1 @ 7.09% ( 0-2 @ 5.23% ( 1-3 @ 4.01% ( 2-3 @ 3.13% ( 0-3 @ 2.57% ( 1-4 @ 1.48% ( 2-4 @ 1.15% ( 0-4 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 2.31% Total : 36.09% |