Alloa Athletic
Cove Rangers
East Fife
Hamilton logo
Inverness CT
Kelty Hearts
Montrose
Peterhead
Queen of the South
Stenhousemuir
Falkirk
Scottish League One | Gameweek 21
Jan 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
Falkirk Stadium
Montrose

Falkirk
2 - 1
Montrose

Nesbitt (32', 47')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Waddell (90+5')
Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Falkirk and Montrose.

Form, Standings, Stats

Falkirk

All competitions
Scottish League One
Last Game: Falkirk 5-2 QotS
Friday, December 23 at 7.45pm in Scottish League One

Montrose

All competitions
Scottish League One
Last Game: Peterhead 0-0 Montrose
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 50.58%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 25.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Montrose win was 1-2 (6.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Falkirk in this match.

Result
FalkirkDrawMontrose
50.58% (-4.207 -4.21)23.58% (1.42 1.42)25.84% (2.787 2.79)
Both teams to score 57.25% (-1.713 -1.71)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.06% (-3.712 -3.71)43.94% (3.711 3.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.67% (-3.725 -3.73)66.32% (3.725 3.72)
Falkirk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.55% (-2.803 -2.8)17.45% (2.803 2.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.09% (-5.132 -5.13)47.91% (5.132 5.13)
Montrose Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.35% (0.27199999999999 0.27)30.65% (-0.272 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.1% (0.32 0.32)66.89% (-0.31999999999999 -0.32)
Score Analysis
    Falkirk 50.58%
    Montrose 25.84%
    Draw 23.58%
FalkirkDrawMontrose
2-1 @ 9.64% (-0.169 -0.17)
1-0 @ 9.34% (0.638 0.64)
2-0 @ 8.15% (-0.205 -0.21)
3-1 @ 5.61% (-0.671 -0.67)
3-0 @ 4.74% (-0.607 -0.61)
3-2 @ 3.32% (-0.369 -0.37)
4-1 @ 2.45% (-0.568 -0.57)
4-0 @ 2.07% (-0.499 -0.5)
4-2 @ 1.45% (-0.322 -0.32)
Other @ 3.81%
Total : 50.58%
1-1 @ 11.04% (0.83 0.83)
2-2 @ 5.7% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-0 @ 5.35% (0.819 0.82)
3-3 @ 1.31% (-0.135 -0.14)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.58%
1-2 @ 6.53% (0.536 0.54)
0-1 @ 6.32% (1.008 1.01)
0-2 @ 3.74% (0.62 0.62)
1-3 @ 2.57% (0.229 0.23)
2-3 @ 2.25% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.47% (0.254 0.25)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 25.84%

Head to Head
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Montrose
1-1
Falkirk
Mackinnon (29')
McGuffie (43')
Burrell (14')
Jul 30, 2022 3pm
Falkirk
0-0
Montrose

McGinn (9')

Masson (18'), Waddell (29'), Wright (90+2')
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Falkirk
0-3
Montrose

Dixon (52'), McKay (63')
Cameron (13'), Gardyne (71' pen.), Campbell (89')
Masson (84'), Lyons (90+2')
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Montrose
2-1
Falkirk
Lyons (40'), Johnston (45+1')
Lyons (13'), Dillon (83')
Fleming (34' og.)
Mills (55'), Watson (58'), Dowds (64')
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Falkirk
0-1
Montrose
Ballantyne (37')
Ballantyne (40'), Masson (44'), Ballantyne (61')