Alloa Athletic
Cove Rangers
East Fife
Hamilton logo
Inverness CT
Kelty Hearts
Montrose
Peterhead
Queen of the South
Stenhousemuir
Kelty Hearts
Scottish League One | Gameweek 15
Nov 12, 2022 at 3pm UK
Central Park
Montrose

Kelty Hearts
1 - 3
Montrose

Barjonas (51')
FT(HT: 0-1)
McAllister (2'), Webster (90'), Johnston (90+3')
Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Kelty Hearts and Montrose.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kelty Hearts 1-1 Alloa
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Montrose 3-0 Peterhead
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 46.77%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 27.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Montrose win was 0-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.

Result
Kelty HeartsDrawMontrose
46.77% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)25.94% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)27.29% (0.032 0.03)
Both teams to score 50.94% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.18% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)52.82% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.56% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)74.44% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Kelty Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.43% (-0.023999999999987 -0.02)22.57% (0.026 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.84% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)56.16% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Montrose Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.79% (0.016999999999996 0.02)34.21% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.09% (0.018000000000001 0.02)70.9% (-0.015999999999991 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Kelty Hearts 46.77%
    Montrose 27.29%
    Draw 25.93%
Kelty HeartsDrawMontrose
1-0 @ 11.49%
2-1 @ 9.18% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 8.55% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.55% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.25% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.44% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.7% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.58% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 46.77%
1-1 @ 12.32%
0-0 @ 7.72% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 4.92%
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 25.93%
0-1 @ 8.28% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.61% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 4.44% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.37% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.76% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.59% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 27.29%

Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Montrose
3-0
Kelty Hearts
Waddell (31'), McAllister (51'), Rennie (90+2')
Whatley (35'), Webster (60')

McGill (11'), McNab (60')