| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Queen of the South | 4 | 0 | 5 |
| 7 | Montrose | 4 | 0 | 5 |
| 8 | Alloa Athletic | 4 | -3 | 3 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Alloa Athletic | 4 | -3 | 3 |
| 9 | Peterhead | 4 | -7 | 1 |
| 10 | Kelty Hearts | 4 | -7 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 39.31%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 33.54% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Montrose win was 1-0 (9.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Montrose | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
| 33.54% ( | 27.15% ( | 39.31% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.13% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.78% ( | 55.23% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.54% ( | 76.46% ( |
| Montrose Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.07% ( | 30.93% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.77% ( | 67.23% ( |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.58% ( | 27.42% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.1% ( | 62.9% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Montrose | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
| 1-0 @ 9.95% ( 2-1 @ 7.56% ( 2-0 @ 5.84% ( 3-1 @ 2.96% 3-0 @ 2.28% ( 3-2 @ 1.91% ( Other @ 3.04% Total : 33.54% | 1-1 @ 12.87% 0-0 @ 8.48% ( 2-2 @ 4.89% ( Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.15% | 0-1 @ 10.97% ( 1-2 @ 8.33% ( 0-2 @ 7.1% ( 1-3 @ 3.59% ( 0-3 @ 3.06% ( 2-3 @ 2.11% ( 1-4 @ 1.16% ( 0-4 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 1.99% Total : 39.3% |