| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Falkirk | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | Montrose | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | Alloa Athletic | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Kelty Hearts | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 9 | Peterhead | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 10 | Queen of the South | 1 | -3 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 38.19%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 35.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 0-1 (9.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Montrose | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 38.19% ( | 26.64% ( | 35.17% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.02% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.06% ( | 52.94% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.45% ( | 74.54% ( |
| Montrose Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.02% ( | 26.97% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.68% ( | 62.32% ( |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.24% ( | 28.76% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.4% ( | 64.6% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Montrose | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 1-0 @ 10.16% ( 2-1 @ 8.3% ( 2-0 @ 6.66% ( 3-1 @ 3.63% ( 3-0 @ 2.91% ( 3-2 @ 2.26% 4-1 @ 1.19% ( 4-0 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 2.14% Total : 38.19% | 1-1 @ 12.66% ( 0-0 @ 7.76% ( 2-2 @ 5.17% ( 3-3 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.63% | 0-1 @ 9.67% ( 1-2 @ 7.89% ( 0-2 @ 6.02% ( 1-3 @ 3.28% ( 0-3 @ 2.5% ( 2-3 @ 2.15% ( 1-4 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 2.63% Total : 35.17% |