Alloa Athletic
Cove Rangers
East Fife
Hamilton logo
Inverness CT
Kelty Hearts
Montrose
Peterhead
Queen of the South
Stenhousemuir
Falkirk
Scottish League One | Gameweek 12
Oct 22, 2022 at 3pm UK
Falkirk Stadium
Kelty Hearts

Falkirk
2 - 3
Kelty Hearts

Alegria (56'), Burrell (71')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Agyeman (6', 8'), Lyon (66')
Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Falkirk and Kelty Hearts.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Falkirk 3-1 Alloa
Tuesday, October 18 at 7.45pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Kelty Hearts 2-1 Clyde
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 55.99%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 20.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for a Kelty Hearts win it was 0-1 (6.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
FalkirkDrawKelty Hearts
55.99% (2.917 2.92)23.02% (-0.788 -0.79)20.99% (-2.128 -2.13)
Both teams to score 53.17% (-0.34 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.45% (0.942 0.94)46.55% (-0.94 -0.94)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.18% (0.878 0.88)68.82% (-0.876 -0.88)
Falkirk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.55% (1.395 1.4)16.45% (-1.394 -1.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.87% (2.459 2.46)46.13% (-2.459 -2.46)
Kelty Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.63% (-1.493 -1.49)36.37% (1.495 1.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.85% (-1.541 -1.54)73.15% (1.542 1.54)
Score Analysis
    Falkirk 55.99%
    Kelty Hearts 20.99%
    Draw 23.02%
FalkirkDrawKelty Hearts
1-0 @ 10.79% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
2-1 @ 9.86% (0.119 0.12)
2-0 @ 9.74% (0.502 0.5)
3-1 @ 5.93% (0.336 0.34)
3-0 @ 5.86% (0.552 0.55)
3-2 @ 3% (0.052 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.68% (0.265 0.27)
4-0 @ 2.65% (0.357 0.36)
4-2 @ 1.35% (0.084 0.08)
5-1 @ 0.97% (0.135 0.14)
5-0 @ 0.96% (0.166 0.17)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 55.99%
1-1 @ 10.92% (-0.37 -0.37)
0-0 @ 5.98% (-0.24 -0.24)
2-2 @ 4.99% (-0.144 -0.14)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.02%
0-1 @ 6.05% (-0.505 -0.51)
1-2 @ 5.52% (-0.427 -0.43)
0-2 @ 3.06% (-0.393 -0.39)
1-3 @ 1.86% (-0.228 -0.23)
2-3 @ 1.68% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-3 @ 1.03% (-0.18 -0.18)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 20.99%

Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Kelty Hearts
2-0
Falkirk
Cardle (19'), McGill (26')
Barjonas (35'), Cardle (51'), Martin (90+1')

Donaldson (42')
rhs 2.0


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