Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 55.99%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 20.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for a Kelty Hearts win it was 0-1 (6.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Falkirk | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
55.99% ( 2.92) | 23.02% ( -0.79) | 20.99% ( -2.13) |
Both teams to score 53.17% ( -0.34) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.45% ( 0.94) | 46.55% ( -0.94) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.18% ( 0.88) | 68.82% ( -0.88) |
Falkirk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.55% ( 1.4) | 16.45% ( -1.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.87% ( 2.46) | 46.13% ( -2.46) |
Kelty Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.63% ( -1.49) | 36.37% ( 1.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.85% ( -1.54) | 73.15% ( 1.54) |
Score Analysis |
Falkirk | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
1-0 @ 10.79% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 9.74% ( 0.5) 3-1 @ 5.93% ( 0.34) 3-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.55) 3-2 @ 3% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.68% ( 0.27) 4-0 @ 2.65% ( 0.36) 4-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.08) 5-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.14) 5-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.17) Other @ 2.21% Total : 55.99% | 1-1 @ 10.92% ( -0.37) 0-0 @ 5.98% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.14) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.02% | 0-1 @ 6.05% ( -0.51) 1-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.43) 0-2 @ 3.06% ( -0.39) 1-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.23) 2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.18) Other @ 1.78% Total : 20.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 28 |
2 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 27 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 25 |
4 | Kelty Hearts | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 23 |
5 | Montrose | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 23 |
6 | Cove Rangers | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 22 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 18 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 7 |
10 | Dumbarton | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 35 | -13 | 1 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |