Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 42.65%. A win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 31.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Edinburgh City win was 1-0 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Edinburgh City | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
31.81% ( 0.04) | 25.55% ( 0) | 42.65% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 54.73% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.92% ( -0) | 49.08% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.85% ( -0) | 71.16% ( 0) |
Edinburgh City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.99% ( 0.02) | 29.01% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.09% ( 0.03) | 64.91% ( -0.03) |
Kelty Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.1% ( -0.02) | 22.9% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.34% ( -0.03) | 56.66% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Edinburgh City | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
1-0 @ 8.22% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.5% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.09% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.09% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.1% ( 0) 4-1 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 2.57% Total : 31.81% | 1-1 @ 12.11% 0-0 @ 6.64% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.53% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.54% | 0-1 @ 9.79% ( -0) 1-2 @ 8.93% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.22% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.39% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.55% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.72% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.62% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.31% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 2.14% Total : 42.65% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 28 |
2 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 27 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 25 |
4 | Kelty Hearts | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 23 |
5 | Montrose | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 23 |
6 | Cove Rangers | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 22 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 18 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 7 |
10 | Dumbarton | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 35 | -13 | 1 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |