Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 56.95%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 19.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.46%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Edinburgh City win it was 0-1 (6.28%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen of the South would win this match.