Alloa Athletic
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Stenhousemuir
Alloa Athletic
Scottish League One | Gameweek 3
Aug 13, 2022 at 3pm UK
Recreation Park
Edinburgh City

Alloa
2 - 4
Edinburgh

Sammon (8'), Maciver (85')
Durnan (53'), O'Donnel (62'), Maciver (90')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Robertson (21', 33'), Murray (54'), Handling (87')
Crane (25'), Johnson (79'), Delferriere (82')
Crane (90+1')
Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Alloa Athletic and Edinburgh City.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 45.82%. A win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 27.23% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest Edinburgh City win was 0-1 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
Alloa AthleticDrawEdinburgh City
45.82% (1.135 1.14)26.95% (0.327 0.33)27.23% (-1.463 -1.46)
Both teams to score 47.93% (-1.881 -1.88)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.3% (-1.968 -1.97)56.7% (1.969 1.97)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.35% (-1.604 -1.6)77.65% (1.606 1.61)
Alloa Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.3% (-0.316 -0.32)24.7% (0.317 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.77% (-0.444 -0.44)59.24% (0.444 0.44)
Edinburgh City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.65% (-2.222 -2.22)36.35% (2.222 2.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.86% (-2.316 -2.32)73.14% (2.316 2.32)
Score Analysis
    Alloa Athletic 45.82%
    Edinburgh City 27.23%
    Draw 26.95%
Alloa AthleticDrawEdinburgh City
1-0 @ 12.55% (0.81 0.81)
2-1 @ 8.88% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.78% (0.491 0.49)
3-1 @ 4.14% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-0 @ 4.09% (0.193 0.19)
3-2 @ 2.1% (-0.158 -0.16)
4-1 @ 1.45% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.43% (0.055 0.06)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 45.82%
1-1 @ 12.7% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 8.98% (0.657 0.66)
2-2 @ 4.5% (-0.294 -0.29)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 26.95%
0-1 @ 9.09% (0.14 0.14)
1-2 @ 6.43% (-0.358 -0.36)
0-2 @ 4.6% (-0.211 -0.21)
1-3 @ 2.17% (-0.264 -0.26)
0-3 @ 1.55% (-0.172 -0.17)
2-3 @ 1.52% (-0.2 -0.2)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 27.23%

Head to Head
Oct 13, 2020 7.45pm
Nov 17, 2018 3pm
Edinburgh
2-2
Alloa
Edinburgh win 4-3 on penalties
Henderson (45'), Shepherd (57')
Black (21'), Laird (79')
Zanatta (2'), Trouten (12')
Spence (44'), Dick (56'), Hetherington (93')