| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Clyde | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 4 | Alloa Athletic | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Edinburgh City | 2 | -1 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 45.82%. A win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 27.23% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest Edinburgh City win was 0-1 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Edinburgh City |
| 45.82% ( | 26.95% ( | 27.23% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.93% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.3% ( | 56.7% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.35% ( | 77.65% ( |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.3% ( | 24.7% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.77% ( | 59.24% ( |
| Edinburgh City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.65% ( | 36.35% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.86% ( | 73.14% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Edinburgh City |
| 1-0 @ 12.55% ( 2-1 @ 8.88% ( 2-0 @ 8.78% ( 3-1 @ 4.14% ( 3-0 @ 4.09% ( 3-2 @ 2.1% ( 4-1 @ 1.45% ( 4-0 @ 1.43% ( Other @ 2.4% Total : 45.82% | 1-1 @ 12.7% ( 0-0 @ 8.98% ( 2-2 @ 4.5% ( Other @ 0.77% Total : 26.95% | 0-1 @ 9.09% ( 1-2 @ 6.43% ( 0-2 @ 4.6% ( 1-3 @ 2.17% ( 0-3 @ 1.55% ( 2-3 @ 1.52% ( Other @ 1.88% Total : 27.23% |