Scottish Challenge Cup | Third Round

Sep 23, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Galabank

Annan
1 - 2
Kelty Hearts

Goss (63' pen.)

FT(HT: 0-0)

Low (58' pen.), Barjonas (90+3')

Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Third Round clash between Annan Athletic and Kelty Hearts.

Form, Standings, Stats

Annan Athletic

Last Six:

Last Game: Annan 2-2 East Fife
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in Scottish League Two

Goals
for

Kelty Hearts

Last Six:

Comp:

Last Game: Peterhead 2-1 Kelty Hearts
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Annan Athletic win with a probability of 48.25%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 28.4% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Annan Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.23%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-2 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
Annan Athletic	Draw	Kelty Hearts
48.25% ( 4.9)	23.34% ( -0.38)	28.4% ( -4.52)

Both teams to score 60.3% (

-1.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.1% (

-0.5)

40.9% (

0.49)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.71% (

-0.51)

63.28% (

0.51)

Annan Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.82% (

1.77)

17.17% (

-1.77)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.56% (

3.02)

47.43% (

-3.03)

Kelty Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.81% (

-3.09)

27.19% (

3.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.4% (

-4.21)

62.6% (

4.21)

Score Analysis

Annan Athletic 48.25%

Kelty Hearts 28.4%

Draw 23.34%

Annan Athletic	Draw	Kelty Hearts
2-1 @ 9.44% ( 0.45) 1-0 @ 8.23% ( 0.63) 2-0 @ 7.25% ( 0.93) 3-1 @ 5.54% ( 0.56) 3-0 @ 4.26% ( 0.75) 3-2 @ 3.61% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 2.44% ( 0.37) 4-0 @ 1.87% ( 0.42) 4-2 @ 1.59% ( 0.11) Other @ 4.03% Total : 48.25%	1-1 @ 10.71% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.25) 0-0 @ 4.67% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.34%	1-2 @ 6.98% ( -0.71) 0-1 @ 6.08% ( -0.41) 0-2 @ 3.96% ( -0.66) 1-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.62) 2-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.37) 0-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.47) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.31) Other @ 2.98% Total : 28.4%