Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
8 | Queen of the South | 5 | -2 | 5 |
9 | Kelty Hearts | 5 | -10 | 1 |
10 | Peterhead | 5 | -12 | 1 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
2 | Dunfermline Athletic | 5 | 5 | 11 |
3 | Falkirk | 5 | 3 | 10 |
4 | Edinburgh City | 5 | 0 | 9 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 44.3%. A win for Falkirk had a probability of 29.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Falkirk win was 0-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kelty Hearts would win this match.
Result | ||
Kelty Hearts | Draw | Falkirk |
44.3% ( -0.93) | 25.75% ( -0.12) | 29.95% ( 1.05) |
Both teams to score 53.2% ( 0.97) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.32% ( 0.98) | 50.68% ( -0.98) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.42% ( 0.86) | 72.58% ( -0.86) |
Kelty Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.2% ( -0.02) | 22.8% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.49% ( -0.03) | 56.51% ( 0.03) |
Falkirk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.91% ( 1.27) | 31.09% ( -1.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.59% ( 1.46) | 67.41% ( -1.46) |
Score Analysis |
Kelty Hearts | Draw | Falkirk |
1-0 @ 10.47% ( -0.43) 2-1 @ 9.05% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 7.75% ( -0.32) 3-1 @ 4.46% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.82% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.65% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.12% Total : 44.29% | 1-1 @ 12.24% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 7.09% ( -0.28) 2-2 @ 5.29% ( 0.15) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.75% | 0-1 @ 8.28% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.15% ( 0.21) 0-2 @ 4.84% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 2.79% ( 0.18) 2-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.13) 0-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.12) Other @ 2.95% Total : 29.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 28 |
2 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 27 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 25 |
4 | Kelty Hearts | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 23 |
5 | Montrose | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 23 |
6 | Cove Rangers | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 22 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 18 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 7 |
10 | Dumbarton | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 35 | -13 | 1 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |