Scottish League One | Gameweek 6

Sep 3, 2022 at 3pm UK

Central Park

Kelty Hearts
2 - 0
Falkirk

Cardle (19'), McGill (26')
Barjonas (35'), Cardle (51'), Martin (90+1')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Donaldson (42')

Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Kelty Hearts and Falkirk.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kelty Hearts

Last Six:

Last Game: Montrose 3-0 Kelty Hearts
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	Queen of the South	5	-2	5
9	Kelty Hearts	5	-10	1
10	Peterhead	5	-12	1

Falkirk

Last Six:

Last Game: Dundee 3-0 Falkirk
Tuesday, August 30 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Dunfermline Athletic	5	5	11
3	Falkirk	5	3	10
4	Edinburgh City	5	0	9

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 44.3%. A win for Falkirk had a probability of 29.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Falkirk win was 0-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kelty Hearts would win this match.

Result
Kelty Hearts	Draw	Falkirk
44.3% ( -0.93)	25.75% ( -0.12)	29.95% ( 1.05)

Both teams to score 53.2% (

0.97)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.32% (

0.98)

50.68% (

-0.98)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.42% (

0.86)

72.58% (

-0.86)

Kelty Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.2% (

-0.02)

22.8% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.49% (

-0.03)

56.51% (

0.03)

Falkirk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.91% (

1.27)

31.09% (

-1.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.59% (

1.46)

67.41% (

-1.46)

Score Analysis

Kelty Hearts 44.29%

Falkirk 29.95%

Draw 25.75%

Kelty Hearts	Draw	Falkirk
1-0 @ 10.47% ( -0.43) 2-1 @ 9.05% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 7.75% ( -0.32) 3-1 @ 4.46% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.82% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.65% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.12% Total : 44.29%	1-1 @ 12.24% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 7.09% ( -0.28) 2-2 @ 5.29% ( 0.15) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.75%	0-1 @ 8.28% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.15% ( 0.21) 0-2 @ 4.84% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 2.79% ( 0.18) 2-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.13) 0-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.12) Other @ 2.95% Total : 29.95%