Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 45.59%. A win for Falkirk had a probability of 28.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Falkirk win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Airdrieonians would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Airdrieonians | Draw | Falkirk |
| 45.59% ( | 25.53% ( | 28.88% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.28% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.71% ( | 50.29% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.76% ( | 72.24% ( |
| Airdrieonians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.96% ( | 22.04% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.63% ( | 55.37% ( |
| Falkirk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.34% ( | 31.66% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.92% ( | 68.08% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Airdrieonians | Draw | Falkirk |
| 1-0 @ 10.55% ( 2-1 @ 9.18% ( 2-0 @ 7.98% ( 3-1 @ 4.63% ( 3-0 @ 4.02% ( 3-2 @ 2.66% ( 4-1 @ 1.75% ( 4-0 @ 1.52% ( 4-2 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 2.29% Total : 45.59% | 1-1 @ 12.13% ( 0-0 @ 6.98% ( 2-2 @ 5.28% ( 3-3 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.52% | 0-1 @ 8.03% ( 1-2 @ 6.98% ( 0-2 @ 4.61% ( 1-3 @ 2.68% ( 2-3 @ 2.02% ( 0-3 @ 1.77% ( Other @ 2.8% Total : 28.88% |