Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 56.84%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Falkirk had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Falkirk win it was 0-1 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Airdrieonians would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Airdrieonians | Draw | Falkirk |
| 56.84% | 22.66% | 20.5% |
| Both teams to score 53.59% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.38% | 45.62% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.06% | 67.94% |
| Airdrieonians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.18% | 15.83% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55% | 45% |
| Falkirk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.67% | 36.33% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.89% | 73.11% |
| Score Analysis |
| Airdrieonians | Draw | Falkirk |
| 1-0 @ 10.59% 2-1 @ 9.89% 2-0 @ 9.77% 3-1 @ 6.08% 3-0 @ 6% 3-2 @ 3.08% 4-1 @ 2.8% 4-0 @ 2.77% 4-2 @ 1.42% 5-1 @ 1.03% 5-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.38% Total : 56.83% | 1-1 @ 10.73% 0-0 @ 5.75% 2-2 @ 5.01% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.66% | 0-1 @ 5.82% 1-2 @ 5.43% 0-2 @ 2.95% 1-3 @ 1.83% 2-3 @ 1.69% 0-3 @ 1% Other @ 1.78% Total : 20.5% |