/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F11%2Ffallog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F11%2Falllog.png)
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Brad McKay
3'
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Juan Alegria
7'
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Juan Alegria
44'
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Conor Sammon
86'
Falkirk vs Alloa Athletic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 57.91%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 19.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.42%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 0-1 (5.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.
Result
Falkirk
57.91%
▲
(+0.40)
Draw
22.8%
▼
(-0.13)
Alloa Athletic
19.3%
▼
(-0.27)
Both Teams to Score:
51.2%
▼
(-0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5
52.16%
▲
(+0.14)
Under 2.5
47.84%
▼
(-0.14)
Over 3.5
29.98%
▲
(+0.13)
Under 3.5
70.02%
▼
(-0.13)
Falkirk Goals
Over 0.5
83.76%
▲
(+0.19)
Under 0.5
16.24%
▼
(-0.18)
Over 1.5
54.25%
▲
(+0.34)
Under 1.5
45.76%
▼
(-0.34)
Alloa Athletic Goals
Over 0.5
61.13%
▼
(-0.22)
Under 0.5
38.87%
▲
(+0.22)
Over 1.5
24.4%
▼
(-0.21)
Under 1.5
75.6%
▲
(+0.21)
Score analysis
Falkirk
57.89%
Draw
22.8%
Alloa Athletic
19.3%
Falkirk
1-0
@
11.47%
▲
(+0.01)
2-0 @ 10.42% ▲ (+0.08)
2-1 @ 9.85% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 6.32% ▲ (+0.09)
3-1 @ 5.97% ▲ (+0.05)
4-0 @ 2.87% ▲ (+0.06)
3-2 @ 2.82% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.71% ▲ (+0.04)
4-2 @ 1.28% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.04% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 57.89%
2-0 @ 10.42% ▲ (+0.08)
2-1 @ 9.85% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 6.32% ▲ (+0.09)
3-1 @ 5.97% ▲ (+0.05)
4-0 @ 2.87% ▲ (+0.06)
3-2 @ 2.82% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.71% ▲ (+0.04)
4-2 @ 1.28% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.04% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 57.89%
Draw
1-1
@
10.84%
▼
(-0.07)
0-0 @ 6.31% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 4.66% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 22.8%
0-0 @ 6.31% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 4.66% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 22.8%
Alloa Athletic
0-1
@
5.96%
▼
(-0.07)
1-2 @ 5.12% ▼ (-0.06)
0-2 @ 2.82% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 1.61% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.47% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 19.3%
1-2 @ 5.12% ▼ (-0.06)
0-2 @ 2.82% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 1.61% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.47% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 19.3%
Daniel Church
87'