Scottish League One | Gameweek 8

Sep 17, 2022 at 3pm UK

Recreation Park

Alloa
2 - 1
Montrose

Stanger (57'), Rodden (87')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Lyons (78')

Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Alloa Athletic and Montrose.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 46.75%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 28.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Montrose win was 0-1 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alloa Athletic would win this match.

Result
Alloa Athletic	Draw	Montrose
46.75% ( -0.23)	24.5%	28.75% ( 0.23)

Both teams to score 56.56% (

0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.06% (

0.13)

45.94% (

-0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.75% (

0.13)

68.25% (

-0.13)

Alloa Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.25% (

-0.04)

19.75% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.22% (

-0.07)

51.78% (

0.07)

Montrose Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.48% (

0.23)

29.52% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.46% (

0.28)

65.54% (

-0.28)

Score Analysis

Alloa Athletic 46.75%

Montrose 28.75%

Draw 24.49%

Alloa Athletic	Draw	Montrose
1-0 @ 9.46% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.36% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.67% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 5.06% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.15% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.09% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.05% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.68% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( 0) Other @ 2.98% Total : 46.75%	1-1 @ 11.53% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.83% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.49%	0-1 @ 7.11% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.04% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.86% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.31% Total : 28.75%