Alloa Athletic
Cove Rangers
East Fife
Hamilton logo
Inverness CT
Kelty Hearts
Montrose
Peterhead
Queen of the South
Stenhousemuir
Airdrieonians
Scottish League One | Gameweek 4
Aug 20, 2022 at 3pm UK
New Broomfield
Alloa Athletic

Airdrieonians
2 - 0
Alloa

McGill (39'), Gallagher (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Durnan (72'), O'Donnel (77')
Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Airdrieonians and Alloa Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Alloa 2-4 Edinburgh
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 55.06%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 21.09%.

The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.09%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.34%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 0-1 (6.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Airdrieonians would win this match.

Result
AirdrieoniansDrawAlloa Athletic
55.06% (-0.7 -0.7)23.85% (0.263 0.26)21.09% (0.438 0.44)
Both teams to score 50.72% (-0.171 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.12% (-0.547 -0.55)49.87% (0.548 0.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.13% (-0.489 -0.49)71.87% (0.491 0.49)
Airdrieonians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.01% (-0.459 -0.46)17.98% (0.459 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.16% (-0.791 -0.79)48.84% (0.792 0.79)
Alloa Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.84% (0.137 0.14)38.15% (-0.137 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.08% (0.133 0.13)74.92% (-0.13199999999999 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Airdrieonians 55.05%
    Alloa Athletic 21.09%
    Draw 23.85%
AirdrieoniansDrawAlloa Athletic
1-0 @ 11.77% (0.09 0.09)
2-0 @ 10.09% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 9.73% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-0 @ 5.78% (-0.132 -0.13)
3-1 @ 5.57% (-0.106 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.68% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.48% (-0.094 -0.09)
4-1 @ 2.39% (-0.082 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.15% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 55.05%
1-1 @ 11.34% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 6.86% (0.151 0.15)
2-2 @ 4.69% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 23.85%
0-1 @ 6.61% (0.17 0.17)
1-2 @ 5.46% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
0-2 @ 3.19% (0.093 0.09)
1-3 @ 1.76% (0.032 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.51% (0.006 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.02% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 21.09%

Head to Head
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
Dec 26, 2021 3pm
Airdrieonians
3-1
Alloa
Smith (2'), Gallagher (7'), McInroy (61')
Fordyce (64'), Agnew (71'), Easton (90+1')
Henderson (64')
Gilmour (68')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Alloa
2-1
Airdrieonians
Henderson (33', 50')
Durnan (20')
Fordyce (85')
McGill (36'), Watson (38'), McInroy (43'), Easton (71')
Sep 14, 2021 7.45pm
Airdrieonians
2-1
Alloa
Gallagher (12'), Frizzell (51')
Sammon (62')
King (32'), Taggart (37'), Durnan (53')
Oct 7, 2020 7.45pm