Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 39.05%. A win for Falkirk had a probability of 35.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest Falkirk win was 0-1 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Montrose | Draw | Falkirk |
39.05% ( 0.01) | 25.57% ( 0) | 35.38% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 55.59% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.61% ( -0.02) | 48.38% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.48% ( -0.02) | 70.52% ( 0.02) |
Montrose Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.59% ( -0) | 24.41% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.16% ( -0) | 58.83% ( 0.01) |
Falkirk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.55% ( -0.02) | 26.45% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.38% ( -0.03) | 61.62% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Montrose | Draw | Falkirk |
1-0 @ 9.1% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.54% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.42% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.01% 3-0 @ 3.02% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.67% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.42% 4-0 @ 1.06% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 1.87% Total : 39.05% | 1-1 @ 12.1% 0-0 @ 6.46% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.68% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.57% | 0-1 @ 8.59% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8.05% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.71% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.57% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.53% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.52% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.19% ( -0) Other @ 3.22% Total : 35.38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 27 |
2 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 25 |
3 | Arbroath | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 25 |
4 | Kelty Hearts | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 22 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 21 |
6 | Montrose | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 20 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 18 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 27 | -16 | 15 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 7 |
10 | Dumbarton | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 1 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |