Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 40.99%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 33.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.