Scottish League One | Gameweek 10

Oct 8, 2022 at 3pm UK

Recreation Park

Alloa
0 - 3
Dunfermline

FT(HT: 0-2)

Comrie (30'), Todd (45+2'), Wighton (79')

Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Alloa Athletic and Dunfermline Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alloa Athletic

All competitions

Scottish League One

Last Game: QotS 1-1 Alloa
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Goals
for

Dunfermline Athletic

All competitions

Last Game: Dunfermline 2-2 Peterhead
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 41.98%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 30.99% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (7.72%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 (9.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunfermline Athletic would win this match.

Result
Alloa Athletic	Draw	Dunfermline Athletic
30.99% ( 0.03)	27.03% ( 0)	41.98% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 49.74%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.64% (

-0.01)

55.36% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.43% (

-0.01)

76.57% (

Alloa Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.24% (

0.02)

32.75% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.69% (

0.02)

69.31% (

-0.03)

Dunfermline Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.96% (

-0.03)

26.04% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.93% (

-0.03)

61.07% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Alloa Athletic 30.99%

Dunfermline Athletic 41.97%

Draw 27.02%

Alloa Athletic	Draw	Dunfermline Athletic
1-0 @ 9.52% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.15% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.31% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.66% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.98% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.79% ( 0) Other @ 2.59% Total : 30.99%	1-1 @ 12.8% 0-0 @ 8.53% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.81% ( 0) Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.02%	0-1 @ 11.47% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.62% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.72% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.87% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.46% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.3% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.17% ( -0) Other @ 2.21% Total : 41.97%