Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 41.03%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 33.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Alloa Athletic | Draw | Airdrieonians |
33.29% ( -0.08) | 25.67% ( -0.01) | 41.03% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 54.81% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.8% ( 0.01) | 49.2% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.74% ( 0.01) | 71.26% ( -0.01) |
Alloa Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.89% ( -0.05) | 28.11% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.22% ( -0.06) | 63.78% ( 0.06) |
Airdrieonians Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.25% ( 0.05) | 23.75% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.1% ( 0.07) | 57.89% ( -0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Alloa Athletic | Draw | Airdrieonians |
1-0 @ 8.47% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.73% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.38% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.27% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.27% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.78% Total : 33.29% | 1-1 @ 12.18% 0-0 @ 6.68% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.56% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.67% | 0-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.75% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.9% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.2% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.31% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.66% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.51% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 1.97% Total : 41.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 28 |
2 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 27 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 25 |
4 | Kelty Hearts | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 23 |
5 | Montrose | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 23 |
6 | Cove Rangers | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 22 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 18 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 7 |
10 | Dumbarton | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 35 | -13 | 1 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |